DASH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.2% | 8.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 4.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.2% | 4.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.2% | 12.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.4% | +3.6% | +2.9% | +1.4% | -0.7% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.06 | 1.14 | +7.7% | +8.2% | +2.0% | -10.3% | -11.0% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 0.58 | 0.48 | -17.7% | +6.7% | +1.6% | +2.4% | -11.1% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 0.68 | 0.55 | -18.7% | -11.2% | -17.5% | -0.6% | +14.7% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.43 | 0.65 | +49.5% | +5.6% | +5.0% | -8.7% | -7.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.44 | +14.6% | -5.7% | -7.4% | +4.0% | +13.5% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -0.6% | +2.5% | +4.0% | +0.7% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.21 | 0.38 | +76.9% | +5.8% | +0.9% | +8.9% | +12.6% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +33.5% | +7.8% | +8.3% | +5.6% | +6.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.66 | +16.5% | -8.0% | -10.3% | +1.6% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | -0.13 | -0.39 | -197.3% | -11.4% | -8.1% | +3.3% | +12.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | -0.41 | -0.19 | +53.4% | +12.1% | +15.7% | -3.7% | +12.0% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.49 | +74.6% | +0.4% | -0.6% | -3.6% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.56 | -0.41 | +27.2% | +3.5% | +0.1% | +4.7% | +13.2% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.01 | — | -110.9% | +4.3% | -7.6% | -12.3% | -2.3% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.65 | -0.77 | -19.1% | +13.9% | +8.3% | +22.1% | +2.2% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.02 | 0.06 | +387.3% | +3.4% | -1.3% | -3.6% | -27.5% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | -0.04 | — | +108.2% | -4.3% | -11.0% | +2.5% | +15.0% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -112.5% | +21.8% | +10.7% | -4.5% | +2.0% |
| 2021-11-09 miss | -0.27 | -0.30 | -12.4% | +16.4% | +11.6% | +7.1% | -26.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.