DB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.2% | 3.6% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +2.1% | +1.4% | 4.6% | 75% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 2.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.6% | 6.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +7.2% | +13.0% |
| 2023-03-17 beat | 0.18 | 0.97 | +450.6% | -3.4% | -4.2% | -5.5% | +10.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +42.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +15.4% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +29.1% | -2.1% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +0.8% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 0.57 | 0.52 | -7.5% | -7.1% | -6.9% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| 2022-03-11 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +28.5% | -0.2% | -4.6% | +19.8% | +17.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +34.5% | -4.9% | -7.5% | +4.8% | -4.1% |
| 2014-01-30 miss | -0.61 | -1.01 | -66.0% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -6.6% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.62 | +60.0% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -6.2% | -5.4% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 1.11 | 0.88 | -21.1% | -3.6% | -4.9% | -1.9% | -4.3% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 1.49 | 2.41 | +62.1% | +5.4% | +5.0% | +5.9% | +2.5% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 0.50 | 0.47 | -6.3% | +2.3% | +2.5% | -5.0% | -15.8% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 1.24 | 1.53 | +23.0% | +4.9% | +4.4% | -3.5% | -3.5% |
| 2012-07-31 miss | 1.43 | 1.07 | -25.5% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +4.2% | +13.1% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 1.58 | 2.39 | +51.0% | -4.8% | -3.5% | -7.4% | -16.4% |
| 2012-02-02 miss | 1.26 | 0.20 | -84.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +4.8% | +5.3% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.94 | 1.03 | +9.4% | +4.0% | +1.7% | -2.5% | -19.4% |
| 2011-02-03 miss | 0.95 | 0.87 | -8.5% | +1.7% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +0.1% |
| 2010-10-27 beat | 0.93 | 2.15 | +131.2% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -12.1% |
| 2010-07-27 beat | 0.88 | 1.85 | +110.7% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +8.6% | -6.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.