DB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.5% | -2.1% | 3.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +1.5% | 3.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.0% | 3.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -2.0% | 7.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.97 | +6.2% | +1.1% | +0.3% | +7.2% | +13.0% |
| 2023-03-17 beat | 0.18 | 0.97 | +450.6% | -3.4% | -4.2% | -5.5% | +10.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +42.6% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +2.0% | +15.4% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.51 | +29.1% | -2.1% | +1.0% | +4.7% | +0.8% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 0.57 | 0.52 | -7.5% | -7.1% | -6.9% | +5.0% | +10.5% |
| 2022-03-11 beat | 0.24 | 0.31 | +28.5% | -0.2% | -4.6% | +19.8% | +17.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +34.5% | -4.9% | -7.5% | +4.8% | -4.1% |
| 2014-01-30 miss | -0.61 | -1.01 | -66.0% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -6.6% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.62 | +60.0% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -6.2% | -5.4% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 1.11 | 0.88 | -21.1% | -3.6% | -4.9% | -1.9% | -4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.