DECK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +3.5% | 10.8% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +2.8% | 11.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +7.6% | -2.3% | -0.2% | +0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2026-05-21 beat | 0.83 | 0.96 | +15.2% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +3.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.77 | 3.33 | +20.4% | +15.0% | +19.5% | -3.3% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.58 | 1.82 | +14.9% | -13.7% | -15.2% | -6.3% | -4.4% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.68 | 0.93 | +36.7% | +17.6% | +11.3% | -11.6% | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 0.61 | 1.00 | +65.1% | -22.3% | -19.9% | +3.9% | +0.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.59 | 3.00 | +15.6% | -12.1% | -20.5% | -5.1% | -24.6% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 1.24 | 1.59 | +28.3% | +11.8% | +10.6% | -5.9% | +16.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.75 | +30.4% | +14.1% | +6.3% | -3.3% | +5.6% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 0.50 | 0.83 | +65.0% | +12.2% | +14.2% | +5.2% | -5.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.92 | 2.52 | +30.9% | +8.1% | +14.1% | -4.2% | +2.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.74 | 1.14 | +53.7% | +12.5% | +18.9% | +3.6% | +13.1% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.2% | -3.5% | -0.6% | +3.4% | -3.3% |
| 2023-05-25 beat | 0.45 | 0.58 | +28.8% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +4.4% | +11.8% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.60 | 1.75 | +9.2% | -1.4% | -1.7% | +0.0% | +4.1% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +2.7% | -3.7% | -4.1% | +2.4% | +12.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.20 | 0.28 | +37.4% | +7.6% | +9.0% | +1.3% | +4.7% |
| 2022-05-19 beat | 0.22 | 0.42 | +94.2% | +16.8% | +12.6% | +6.5% | -0.1% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 1.36 | 1.40 | +3.3% | -5.3% | -5.7% | +0.1% | -20.4% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.65 | 0.61 | -6.2% | +2.3% | +3.9% | +7.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | -0.02 | 0.28 | +1473.5% | -1.5% | +1.0% | +5.8% | +2.6% |
| 2021-05-20 beat | 0.11 | 0.20 | +72.4% | +6.9% | +7.9% | -0.1% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 1.20 | 1.50 | +25.0% | +1.3% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +1.9% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.60 | +33.6% | +1.6% | -1.7% | +6.7% | +4.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.18 | -0.05 | +74.7% | -7.4% | -2.3% | +0.6% | -2.6% |
| 2020-05-21 beat | 0.02 | 0.10 | +515.3% | +6.4% | +6.7% | +9.3% | +12.8% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.10 | 1.19 | +8.6% | +4.6% | +7.6% | +0.2% | -8.4% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +16.5% | -0.6% | -3.3% | +2.8% | +9.0% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | -0.19 | -0.11 | +40.4% | -1.6% | -10.2% | -8.0% | -13.2% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.14 | +1230.2% | +7.8% | +4.1% | +0.5% | +12.0% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.89 | 1.11 | +25.0% | +12.9% | +10.5% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.28 | 0.40 | +39.4% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +13.8% | +10.4% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | -0.24 | -0.16 | +31.2% | -5.9% | -6.9% | +3.7% | +5.8% |
| 2018-05-24 beat | 0.03 | 0.08 | +161.1% | +4.2% | +3.5% | +9.6% | +10.6% |
| 2018-02-01 miss | 0.65 | 0.45 | -30.5% | +8.4% | +7.3% | -0.4% | +5.0% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +51.0% | +2.5% | +3.3% | -8.8% | +0.3% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | -0.28 | -0.21 | +23.3% | -0.8% | +1.6% | -2.1% | -2.2% |
| 2017-05-25 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -13.9% | +15.6% | +18.8% | +7.0% | +0.8% |
| 2017-02-02 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -2.7% | -17.9% | -16.1% | +11.8% | +15.9% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +3.4% | +2.4% | +7.1% | -3.9% | +9.2% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | -0.35 | -0.30 | +13.3% | +5.0% | +4.1% | -2.8% | +1.3% |
| 2016-05-26 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +86.5% | -2.0% | +8.0% | +2.3% | +3.4% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.79 | 0.80 | +0.6% | -13.5% | -2.0% | +3.6% | +19.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +4.1% | +10.0% | +7.1% | -0.9% | -12.1% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.4% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -4.5% | -11.6% |
| 2015-05-28 beat | — | 0.01 | +602.1% | +0.6% | -4.3% | +9.2% | +6.1% |
| 2015-01-29 miss | 0.75 | 0.75 | -0.4% | -16.7% | -19.7% | +10.4% | +13.4% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +14.0% | -1.4% | -7.4% | +7.2% | +17.0% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | -0.22 | -0.18 | +17.2% | +9.7% | +6.2% | -1.9% | +5.3% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +44.9% | +6.0% | +5.9% | -4.0% | -5.9% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.3% | -13.2% | -12.2% | +2.6% | +7.2% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +34.3% | +18.0% | +20.5% | -2.0% | +16.6% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | -0.17 | -0.14 | +19.1% | -7.0% | -9.0% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +130.8% | -2.1% | -8.6% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2013-02-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +5.9% | +9.5% | +15.4% | +4.7% | +18.7% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +12.1% | -18.1% | -16.9% | +15.2% | +31.5% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +11.3% | +7.9% | +5.9% | -6.3% | +9.1% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -16.9% | -18.5% | -25.4% | +3.2% | +12.8% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.52 | 0.53 | +1.5% | -10.3% | -13.8% | +2.5% | -12.4% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +18.4% | +4.3% | +10.8% | -1.8% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.