DFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | +0.3% | 6.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -0.3% | 8.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.31 | 4.25 | +28.4% | -1.7% | +4.9% | -2.6% | — |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 3.31 | 5.11 | +54.4% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 3.37 | 3.69 | +9.6% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -4.9% | +17.0% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 3.10 | 6.06 | +95.6% | +2.6% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| 2024-04-17 miss | 3.00 | 1.10 | -63.3% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2024-01-17 miss | 2.51 | 1.54 | -38.6% | -7.1% | -10.8% | +6.9% | +13.9% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 3.17 | 2.59 | -18.2% | -7.4% | -7.9% | -4.5% | +2.1% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 3.69 | 3.54 | -4.0% | -15.2% | -15.9% | +1.7% | -8.9% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 3.91 | 3.58 | -8.4% | -1.5% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2023-01-18 beat | 3.64 | 3.77 | +3.5% | -6.6% | -0.4% | +12.6% | +9.1% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 3.71 | 3.54 | -4.7% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 3.77 | 3.96 | +5.0% | -7.1% | -8.9% | -0.5% | +6.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 3.61 | 4.22 | +16.9% | +9.3% | +8.4% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2022-01-19 miss | 3.69 | 3.64 | -1.4% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -3.1% | +6.0% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 3.40 | 3.54 | +4.0% | -0.9% | -6.1% | -8.0% | -8.4% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 3.84 | 5.55 | +44.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 2.77 | 5.04 | +81.7% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +14.9% | +14.5% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 2.36 | 2.94 | +24.9% | -1.9% | -5.7% | -8.9% | +1.2% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.54 | 2.45 | +58.9% | +7.9% | +9.2% | -3.2% | +13.1% |
| 2020-07-22 miss | -0.03 | -1.20 | -4669.5% | -0.8% | +1.8% | -2.4% | -4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.