DFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 5.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.9% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.7% | 62% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.6% | 7.4% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.31 | 4.25 | +28.4% | -1.7% | +4.9% | -2.6% | — |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 3.31 | 5.11 | +54.4% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 3.37 | 3.69 | +9.6% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -4.9% | +17.0% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 3.10 | 6.06 | +95.6% | +2.6% | +1.0% | -0.9% | -6.4% |
| 2024-04-17 miss | 3.00 | 1.10 | -63.3% | +0.7% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +0.9% |
| 2024-01-17 miss | 2.51 | 1.54 | -38.6% | -7.1% | -10.8% | +6.9% | +13.9% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 3.17 | 2.59 | -18.2% | -7.4% | -7.9% | -4.5% | +2.1% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 3.69 | 3.54 | -4.0% | -15.2% | -15.9% | +1.7% | -8.9% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 3.91 | 3.58 | -8.4% | -1.5% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -4.2% |
| 2023-01-18 beat | 3.64 | 3.77 | +3.5% | -6.6% | -0.4% | +12.6% | +9.1% |
| 2022-10-24 miss | 3.71 | 3.54 | -4.7% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2022-07-20 beat | 3.77 | 3.96 | +5.0% | -7.1% | -8.9% | -0.5% | +6.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 3.61 | 4.22 | +16.9% | +9.3% | +8.4% | -0.5% | -3.3% |
| 2022-01-19 miss | 3.69 | 3.64 | -1.4% | -0.6% | -1.4% | -3.1% | +6.0% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 3.40 | 3.54 | +4.0% | -0.9% | -6.1% | -8.0% | -8.4% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 3.84 | 5.55 | +44.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 2.77 | 5.04 | +81.7% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +14.9% | +14.5% |
| 2021-01-20 beat | 2.36 | 2.94 | +24.9% | -1.9% | -5.7% | -8.9% | +1.2% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 1.54 | 2.45 | +58.9% | +7.9% | +9.2% | -3.2% | +13.1% |
| 2020-07-22 miss | -0.03 | -1.20 | -4669.5% | -0.8% | +1.8% | -2.4% | -4.0% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 1.76 | -0.25 | -114.2% | -7.0% | -0.9% | +23.4% | +16.2% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 2.24 | 2.25 | +0.6% | -9.0% | -11.1% | -1.5% | -8.9% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 2.27 | 2.36 | +3.8% | +1.5% | -0.8% | +0.8% | +3.0% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 2.11 | 2.32 | +10.1% | +3.8% | +8.9% | -2.5% | -13.4% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 2.02 | 2.15 | +6.6% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +1.3% | -6.1% |
| 2019-01-24 miss | 2.06 | 2.03 | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.8% | +2.5% | +6.1% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | 2.05 | 2.05 | -0.1% | -2.3% | -7.9% | +2.0% | +5.1% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.89 | 1.91 | +1.0% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +0.2% | +8.1% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.77 | 1.82 | +2.6% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -0.5% | +2.2% |
| 2018-01-24 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.9% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +0.4% | +0.2% |
| 2017-10-24 miss | 1.54 | 1.51 | -1.9% | -1.9% | -3.3% | +2.7% | +0.4% |
| 2017-07-26 miss | 1.45 | 1.40 | -3.5% | -2.9% | -4.3% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| 2017-04-25 miss | 1.44 | 1.43 | -0.6% | -1.5% | -3.0% | -6.3% | -9.5% |
| 2017-01-24 beat | 1.39 | 1.40 | +0.8% | +1.4% | -1.0% | -0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 1.47 | 1.49 | +1.4% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -2.1% | +20.2% |
| 2016-07-19 miss | 1.40 | 1.36 | -2.7% | -1.5% | -1.2% | +0.6% | +3.2% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +4.5% | +6.1% | +8.2% | +0.6% | -4.2% |
| 2016-01-27 miss | 1.30 | 1.14 | -12.2% | -5.4% | -8.0% | +3.3% | +3.5% |
| 2015-10-20 beat | 1.33 | 1.38 | +3.9% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +4.5% | +4.8% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 1.32 | 1.33 | +0.6% | -1.2% | -3.8% | -1.7% | -5.2% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 1.27 | 1.28 | +0.7% | -2.0% | -2.3% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2015-01-21 miss | 1.30 | 1.19 | -8.5% | -4.6% | -5.8% | -4.3% | +5.8% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.6% | -4.8% | -5.2% | +3.2% | +5.2% |
| 2014-07-22 beat | 1.30 | 1.35 | +3.9% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -0.5% | -0.7% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 1.25 | 1.31 | +4.6% | -1.8% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +1.4% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.4% | +4.5% | +2.8% | -0.4% | +5.7% |
| 2013-10-21 miss | 1.22 | 1.20 | -1.4% | -2.3% | -3.6% | +1.4% | -0.6% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.6% | -0.1% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -2.8% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 1.13 | 1.33 | +18.1% | +3.4% | +1.7% | -1.3% | +8.1% |
| 2012-09-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.21 | +17.0% | +3.3% | +7.3% | +1.8% | +1.4% |
| 2012-06-19 miss | 1.00 | 1.00 | -0.2% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +4.1% |
| 2012-03-21 beat | 0.94 | 1.18 | +25.9% | -0.8% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +0.9% |
| 2011-12-15 beat | 0.91 | 0.95 | +4.5% | +2.2% | -3.1% | +5.3% | +16.7% |
| 2011-09-22 beat | 0.95 | 1.18 | +24.7% | +4.1% | -0.4% | -6.5% | -8.3% |
| 2011-06-23 beat | 0.75 | 1.09 | +46.0% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +12.0% | +9.5% |
| 2011-03-22 beat | 0.59 | 0.84 | +42.9% | +2.1% | +5.3% | +6.6% | +5.6% |
| 2010-12-16 beat | 0.44 | 0.64 | +44.9% | -3.7% | -3.1% | -0.4% | +11.9% |
| 2010-09-20 beat | 0.35 | 0.47 | +33.7% | +3.4% | +3.8% | +2.0% | +7.2% |
| 2010-06-24 beat | 0.13 | 0.33 | +158.4% | +1.9% | +0.5% | -1.1% | +10.0% |
| 2010-03-16 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -13.2% | -3.5% | -0.4% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.