DG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | +0.3% | 13.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -1.1% | 3.5% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +1.4% | 2.7% | 70% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.9% | 15.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 2.01 | 2.48 | +23.5% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +4.3% | — |
| 2026-06-02 beat | 1.88 | 2.00 | +6.2% | +3.0% | -3.3% | +2.9% | +11.2% |
| 2026-03-12 beat | 1.64 | 1.93 | +17.9% | -9.2% | -6.1% | -9.2% | -12.3% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 0.93 | 1.28 | +38.3% | +5.3% | +14.0% | +5.9% | +15.5% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 1.57 | 1.86 | +18.5% | +3.4% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -7.9% |
| 2025-06-03 beat | 1.48 | 1.78 | +19.9% | +10.1% | +15.8% | -1.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-03-13 beat | 1.50 | 1.68 | +11.6% | +5.0% | +6.8% | +2.2% | +11.4% |
| 2024-12-05 miss | 0.94 | 0.89 | -5.1% | +0.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -6.8% |
| 2024-08-29 miss | 1.79 | 1.70 | -5.0% | -25.5% | -32.1% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 1.58 | 1.65 | +4.6% | +3.3% | -8.1% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.