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DMRC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -2.5% | 18.3% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 5.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +0.3% | 5.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | -3.2% | 25.0% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +15.8% | -10.5% | +7.0% | -18.3% | -33.1% |
| 2026-03-11 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +433.3% | +4.6% | +18.1% | -16.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -66.7% | -6.1% | +4.2% | -14.7% | -18.4% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +26.7% | -4.7% | -20.1% | +0.0% | +15.4% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | -0.36 | -0.40 | -11.1% | -8.5% | -9.2% | +8.1% | +10.7% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | -0.29 | -0.22 | +24.1% | -32.0% | -43.1% | +2.1% | -13.8% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.22 | -0.29 | -31.8% | -4.1% | -9.8% | +20.2% | +41.5% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +14.8% | -2.9% | -16.3% | +14.0% | +22.6% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.33 | -0.27 | +18.2% | +6.5% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +22.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +15.2% | -1.2% | -12.3% | -12.8% | -24.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.37 | -0.29 | +21.6% | -4.7% | +2.3% | +14.0% | +17.3% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.29 | +27.5% | +9.1% | +22.1% | -4.5% | -3.4% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | -0.51 | -0.45 | +11.8% | +25.0% | +32.2% | +15.2% | +14.8% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.49 | -0.41 | +16.3% | -3.0% | -2.6% | +7.8% | +0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.54 | -0.47 | +13.0% | +25.6% | +29.4% | +18.0% | +16.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.58 | -0.47 | +19.0% | +3.2% | +3.4% | +12.2% | -3.5% |
| 2022-05-12 | -0.69 | -0.69 | — | +3.7% | -9.4% | -7.2% | -17.0% |
| 2022-03-02 beat | -0.51 | -0.50 | +2.0% | -2.5% | -17.2% | +7.6% | +7.9% |
| 2021-11-15 beat | -0.49 | -0.48 | +1.6% | +0.2% | -3.2% | -8.5% | -13.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.53 | -0.48 | +9.4% | -6.9% | -2.4% | -7.1% | +9.5% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +9.1% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -20.1% | -8.7% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | -0.52 | -1.27 | -141.9% | -7.1% | -17.4% | -9.0% | -6.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.69 | -0.68 | +2.2% | -1.6% | +20.4% | -5.5% | +21.4% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -0.71 | -0.62 | +12.7% | -5.0% | -3.2% | +18.7% | +19.7% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | -0.70 | -0.74 | -5.7% | -3.4% | -10.1% | -4.4% | +7.2% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | -0.74 | -0.73 | +1.4% | -10.0% | -16.9% | -5.6% | -42.2% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | -0.71 | -0.65 | +8.4% | +0.7% | -15.7% | +2.1% | -10.4% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | -0.77 | -0.68 | +11.7% | +2.0% | +10.6% | -7.1% | -20.8% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | -0.73 | -0.74 | -1.4% | +20.8% | +44.8% | +20.5% | +6.9% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | -0.75 | -0.70 | +7.3% | -5.0% | +14.1% | +6.0% | +12.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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