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DMRC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 14.1% | 52% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 5.2% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 4.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.6% | 19.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | -0.09 | -0.08 | +15.8% | -10.5% | +7.0% | -18.3% | -33.1% |
| 2026-03-11 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +433.3% | +4.6% | +18.1% | -16.1% | -3.9% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | -0.06 | -0.10 | -66.7% | -6.1% | +4.2% | -14.7% | -18.4% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | -0.15 | -0.11 | +26.7% | -4.7% | -20.1% | +0.0% | +15.4% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | -0.36 | -0.40 | -11.1% | -8.5% | -9.2% | +8.1% | +10.7% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | -0.29 | -0.22 | +24.1% | -32.0% | -43.1% | +2.1% | -13.8% |
| 2024-11-14 miss | -0.22 | -0.29 | -31.8% | -4.1% | -9.8% | +20.2% | +41.5% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | -0.27 | -0.23 | +14.8% | -2.9% | -16.3% | +14.0% | +22.6% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | -0.33 | -0.27 | +18.2% | +6.5% | +1.2% | +0.3% | +22.9% |
| 2024-02-28 beat | -0.33 | -0.28 | +15.2% | -1.2% | -12.3% | -12.8% | -24.2% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | -0.37 | -0.29 | +21.6% | -4.7% | +2.3% | +14.0% | +17.3% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | -0.40 | -0.29 | +27.5% | +9.1% | +22.1% | -4.5% | -3.4% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | -0.51 | -0.45 | +11.8% | +25.0% | +32.2% | +15.2% | +14.8% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | -0.49 | -0.41 | +16.3% | -3.0% | -2.6% | +7.8% | +0.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.54 | -0.47 | +13.0% | +25.6% | +29.4% | +18.0% | +16.4% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | -0.58 | -0.47 | +19.0% | +3.2% | +3.4% | +12.2% | -3.5% |
| 2022-05-12 | -0.69 | -0.69 | — | +3.7% | -9.4% | -7.2% | -17.0% |
| 2022-03-02 beat | -0.51 | -0.50 | +2.0% | -2.5% | -17.2% | +7.6% | +7.9% |
| 2021-11-15 beat | -0.49 | -0.48 | +1.6% | +0.2% | -3.2% | -8.5% | -13.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.53 | -0.48 | +9.4% | -6.9% | -2.4% | -7.1% | +9.5% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | -0.55 | -0.50 | +9.1% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -20.1% | -8.7% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | -0.52 | -1.27 | -141.9% | -7.1% | -17.4% | -9.0% | -6.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.69 | -0.68 | +2.2% | -1.6% | +20.4% | -5.5% | +21.4% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -0.71 | -0.62 | +12.7% | -5.0% | -3.2% | +18.7% | +19.7% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | -0.70 | -0.74 | -5.7% | -3.4% | -10.1% | -4.4% | +7.2% |
| 2020-02-26 beat | -0.74 | -0.73 | +1.4% | -10.0% | -16.9% | -5.6% | -42.2% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | -0.71 | -0.65 | +8.4% | +0.7% | -15.7% | +2.1% | -10.4% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | -0.77 | -0.68 | +11.7% | +2.0% | +10.6% | -7.1% | -20.8% |
| 2019-05-01 miss | -0.73 | -0.74 | -1.4% | +20.8% | +44.8% | +20.5% | +6.9% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | -0.75 | -0.70 | +7.3% | -5.0% | +14.1% | +6.0% | +12.4% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | -0.76 | -0.73 | +4.4% | +1.2% | -4.9% | -14.6% | -19.9% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | -0.81 | -0.71 | +12.0% | -3.7% | -5.5% | +6.3% | +4.0% |
| 2018-04-25 beat | -0.83 | -0.72 | +12.9% | +0.9% | -3.9% | +5.8% | +11.8% |
| 2018-02-21 miss | -0.73 | -0.76 | -4.1% | +0.0% | -13.1% | -0.9% | -4.1% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | -0.68 | -0.39 | +43.1% | +4.4% | +7.5% | +3.8% | +9.3% |
| 2017-07-26 miss | -0.62 | -0.68 | -8.8% | -2.2% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -7.0% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | -0.67 | -0.61 | +9.0% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -1.4% | +22.8% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | -0.60 | -0.57 | +5.5% | -0.4% | +7.5% | -2.6% | -6.2% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | -0.59 | -0.55 | +6.8% | +3.0% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +4.9% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | -0.66 | -0.62 | +5.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +6.3% |
| 2016-04-27 miss | -0.59 | -0.64 | -7.9% | -2.0% | +7.6% | -8.4% | -9.7% |
| 2016-02-24 | -0.62 | -0.62 | — | -3.7% | +6.2% | -7.1% | +1.4% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | -0.56 | -0.54 | +3.6% | -2.3% | -28.2% | -2.1% | +43.2% |
| 2015-07-22 miss | -0.46 | -0.50 | -8.7% | +1.0% | +11.2% | -13.5% | -14.8% |
| 2015-04-27 miss | -0.40 | -0.52 | -28.9% | -1.6% | +2.3% | -4.9% | +22.8% |
| 2015-02-19 miss | -0.31 | -0.32 | -2.4% | -0.9% | -6.2% | -3.6% | -16.5% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | -0.32 | -0.28 | +12.5% | +2.6% | +7.9% | +13.6% | -7.2% |
| 2014-07-23 miss | -0.28 | -0.38 | -35.7% | -0.6% | +4.7% | -6.5% | -9.6% |
| 2013-02-21 miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -17.6% | +0.3% | -7.9% | -3.7% | -6.7% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 0.20 | 0.14 | -28.8% | +0.4% | +0.5% | +4.7% | -7.8% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -8.9% | +0.0% | +3.2% | -11.1% | -18.3% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.55 | 0.70 | +27.3% | -4.4% | -13.3% | -4.8% | -4.0% |
| 2012-02-23 miss | 0.16 | 0.06 | -61.3% | +0.2% | -0.4% | -9.5% | +0.8% |
| 2011-10-25 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -32.5% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +11.1% | -1.3% |
| 2011-07-21 beat | -0.13 | 0.50 | +484.6% | +0.3% | +8.0% | -6.7% | -22.3% |
| 2011-04-25 beat | 0.07 | 0.12 | +71.4% | -2.0% | +6.4% | -3.5% | +6.7% |
| 2011-02-28 miss | 0.56 | 0.35 | -37.5% | +0.3% | +0.2% | -3.4% | -4.2% |
| 2010-10-20 miss | -0.14 | -0.21 | -50.0% | +0.5% | +7.0% | -6.5% | -5.8% |
| 2010-07-30 miss | -0.03 | -0.13 | -333.3% | -0.7% | +1.9% | +5.9% | -1.4% |
| 2010-04-30 beat | -0.04 | 0.51 | +1375.0% | +1.2% | -0.2% | -3.6% | -0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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