DOV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +1.4% | 4.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 1.1% | 67% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +2.7% | 4.9% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 2.72 | 2.74 | +0.8% | -6.1% | -7.8% | +3.2% | +2.1% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.27 | 2.28 | +0.4% | +3.0% | +5.5% | -0.8% | -8.0% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 2.49 | 2.51 | +1.0% | +1.2% | -1.7% | +7.4% | +11.8% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 2.51 | 2.62 | +4.5% | +2.9% | +8.1% | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.39 | 2.44 | +2.1% | +2.2% | -2.2% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.98 | 2.05 | +3.5% | -3.8% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +4.8% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.08 | 2.20 | +5.9% | +6.4% | +4.1% | -0.4% | -5.9% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 2.18 | 2.27 | +4.3% | -3.0% | -3.6% | +2.5% | +10.8% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.21 | 2.36 | +6.7% | +2.1% | +5.7% | -3.8% | -0.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.88 | 1.95 | +4.0% | +2.6% | +4.5% | -0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.43 | 2.45 | +0.9% | +1.4% | +4.5% | +2.3% | +7.2% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.33 | 2.35 | +1.0% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +4.7% |
| 2023-07-25 miss | 2.21 | 2.05 | -7.1% | -4.8% | -3.7% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.93 | 1.94 | +0.7% | +1.1% | -3.2% | +2.5% | -4.0% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 2.15 | 2.16 | +0.3% | +2.2% | +5.9% | +3.1% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 2.19 | 2.26 | +3.2% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +7.5% | +17.1% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 2.07 | 2.14 | +3.3% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +3.4% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 1.83 | 1.90 | +4.1% | -5.8% | -7.3% | -3.2% | -9.3% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.67 | 1.78 | +6.5% | +2.5% | -0.7% | -3.1% | -7.0% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 1.85 | 1.98 | +6.9% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 1.84 | 2.06 | +11.9% | +0.4% | +6.7% | +1.0% | +5.8% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.47 | 1.81 | +23.4% | +3.1% | +3.2% | +2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.38 | 1.55 | +12.6% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +7.9% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 1.32 | 1.60 | +21.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -2.4% | +8.9% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.92 | 1.13 | +22.7% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +4.6% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 1.18 | 1.39 | +17.6% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +12.3% | +7.7% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.45 | 1.54 | +6.0% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -0.6% | -9.7% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.51 | 1.60 | +5.7% | +7.5% | +5.8% | +1.7% | +8.0% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 1.53 | 1.56 | +2.2% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 1.10 | 1.24 | +12.4% | +0.6% | +1.0% | -0.8% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.