DTM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 3.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.7% | 2.1% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +2.8% | 5.1% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 1.15 | 1.09 | -4.8% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -5.3% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.13 | 1.27 | +12.3% | +1.0% | +6.6% | -2.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 1.15 | 1.08 | -6.2% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +4.8% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.04 | 1.13 | +8.2% | +1.7% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +10.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.98 | 1.04 | +6.4% | -1.5% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +1.4% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | 1.08 | 1.06 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +4.3% | +7.8% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +2.7% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 0.96 | 0.90 | -6.0% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +18.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.93 | 0.98 | +5.0% | -1.1% | +0.6% | -3.3% | +2.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.2% | +0.6% | -1.6% | +3.0% | +6.2% |
| 2024-02-16 beat | 0.89 | 1.24 | +39.3% | +3.9% | +4.3% | +3.8% | +7.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.94 | +3.7% | +0.5% | +2.5% | -1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +7.3% | +0.9% | -2.8% | +1.6% | +0.9% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.93 | 0.84 | -9.9% | +0.6% | -4.9% | +0.5% | -0.9% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.98 | 0.93 | -5.5% | -0.8% | -4.2% | -0.9% | -9.3% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.87 | 0.90 | +3.5% | +3.5% | +3.4% | +2.9% | +0.3% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.88 | 0.80 | -9.2% | +1.0% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.89 | 0.55 | -38.4% | -5.5% | -5.7% | -4.9% | +5.5% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.89 | +6.5% | +1.3% | +4.3% | +7.2% | +3.6% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -1.7% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +1.1% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.