E chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 0.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | -1.9% | 5.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-16 miss | 1.19 | 1.06 | -11.4% | -3.5% | -3.6% | +1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.13 | 1.14 | +1.2% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 1.44 | 1.90 | +31.8% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -8.5% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 2.08 | 1.57 | -24.6% | -4.7% | -5.7% | +0.1% | -7.2% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.70 | 0.33 | -52.9% | -2.5% | -0.7% | -8.8% | -23.4% |
| 2019-10-25 miss | 0.63 | 0.49 | -22.5% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | -0.20 | -0.05 | +75.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -6.1% | -7.1% |
| 2016-02-26 miss | 0.07 | -0.07 | -193.7% | +5.3% | +4.0% | +7.7% | +7.4% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.12 | -0.16 | -233.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.34 | 0.09 | -73.5% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.