E chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 2.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | +0.5% | 5.8% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-16 miss | 1.19 | 1.06 | -11.4% | -3.5% | -3.6% | +1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.13 | 1.14 | +1.2% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +2.5% |
| 2023-04-28 beat | 1.44 | 1.90 | +31.8% | -0.6% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -8.5% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 2.08 | 1.57 | -24.6% | -4.7% | -5.7% | +0.1% | -7.2% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 0.70 | 0.33 | -52.9% | -2.5% | -0.7% | -8.8% | -23.4% |
| 2019-10-25 miss | 0.63 | 0.49 | -22.5% | -0.9% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | -0.20 | -0.05 | +75.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -6.1% | -7.1% |
| 2016-02-26 miss | 0.07 | -0.07 | -193.7% | +5.3% | +4.0% | +7.7% | +7.4% |
| 2015-10-29 miss | 0.12 | -0.16 | -233.3% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% |
| 2015-07-30 miss | 0.34 | 0.09 | -73.5% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -6.8% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.5% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -5.9% |
| 2015-02-18 miss | 0.45 | 0.32 | -28.1% | +1.9% | +3.5% | +1.2% | -10.7% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.82 | 0.66 | -19.0% | -1.9% | -2.8% | -3.9% | -1.9% |
| 2014-04-29 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.2% | +2.2% | +1.9% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 1.00 | 0.98 | -2.0% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +3.4% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +24.1% | +2.2% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -4.3% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.42 | -16.6% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 1.09 | 1.06 | -2.8% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| 2013-02-15 beat | 0.98 | 1.09 | +11.2% | +3.2% | +2.2% | -6.3% | -1.9% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 1.04 | 1.23 | +18.3% | +2.6% | +1.5% | -2.3% | +3.4% |
| 2012-08-01 miss | 1.11 | 0.97 | -12.3% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +8.2% | +4.9% |
| 2012-02-15 miss | 1.26 | 1.12 | -11.1% | -0.8% | +1.5% | +3.3% | +8.4% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.41 | +20.0% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -7.6% | -13.6% |
| 2011-07-29 miss | 1.18 | 1.15 | -2.5% | +0.2% | -2.7% | -14.5% | -6.8% |
| 2011-04-27 beat | 1.68 | 1.79 | +6.4% | +1.6% | +2.9% | -1.7% | -12.9% |
| 2011-02-09 beat | 1.22 | 1.78 | +45.7% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2010-10-28 beat | 0.95 | 1.21 | +28.0% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +3.1% | -10.3% |
| 2010-07-28 beat | 1.08 | 1.17 | +8.4% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +5.6% | -3.3% |
| 2010-04-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.38 | +36.6% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -5.5% | -22.2% |
| 2010-03-10 miss | 1.23 | 1.12 | -8.9% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -2.0% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.