EARN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.4% | 2.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 2.6% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 0.9% | 90% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +2.4% | 4.0% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 miss | 0.21 | 0.15 | -26.8% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +0.2% | -6.1% |
| 2026-05-19 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -20.8% | -1.1% | +3.2% | +2.5% | -9.2% |
| 2026-03-04 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.5% | +1.9% | +2.3% | -6.3% | -6.9% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.5% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +5.7% | +3.3% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -20.9% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +4.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-03-12 miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.8% | -1.0% | -3.4% | -2.4% | -18.8% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +27.8% | +0.9% | -1.8% | +3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2024-08-12 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +28.0% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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