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EARN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 67% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.4% | 3.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 miss | 0.21 | 0.15 | -26.8% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +0.2% | -6.1% |
| 2026-05-19 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -20.8% | -1.1% | +3.2% | +2.5% | -9.2% |
| 2026-03-04 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.5% | +1.9% | +2.3% | -6.3% | -6.9% |
| 2025-11-19 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.5% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +5.7% | +3.3% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 0.23 | 0.18 | -20.9% | +1.1% | +2.5% | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +4.8% | +4.8% |
| 2025-03-12 miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.8% | -1.0% | -3.4% | -2.4% | -18.8% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 0.16 | 0.21 | +27.8% | +0.9% | -1.8% | +3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2024-08-12 beat | 0.28 | 0.36 | +28.0% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -1.4% | -1.1% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -2.2% |
| 2024-03-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +14.6% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +1.3% | +8.5% |
| 2023-11-13 miss | 0.26 | 0.21 | -19.2% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +8.9% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-10 miss | 0.23 | 0.17 | -26.1% | +0.1% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -6.8% |
| 2023-05-11 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.5% | -0.7% | -1.9% | +5.3% | +5.3% |
| 2023-03-06 beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +14.9% | +3.1% | +2.9% | -4.0% | -6.1% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.1% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2022-08-10 | 0.28 | 0.28 | — | +0.3% | +0.7% | -1.4% | -7.5% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.30 | -1.6% | +0.2% | +3.2% | -8.5% | -5.6% |
| 2022-03-07 miss | 0.32 | 0.28 | -11.1% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -7.0% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.4% | -13.3% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +17.5% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +0.3% | +5.0% |
| 2021-05-03 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | +0.0% | -4.5% | -1.1% | +3.7% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -1.9% | +0.8% | -0.4% | +1.4% | +2.3% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.28 | 0.39 | +36.8% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +1.0% | +8.3% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.0% | +1.6% | +2.0% | -3.6% | +3.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +8.0% | +1.3% | -1.4% | -0.6% | +15.1% |
| 2020-02-10 miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -1.7% | +0.3% | +1.1% | +5.2% | -29.5% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.22 | 0.19 | -12.0% | +0.2% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +4.6% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.26 | 0.22 | -15.2% | -1.6% | -1.1% | -2.6% | -10.2% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.27 | -13.4% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -0.9% | -7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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