EAT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +4.5% | 10.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 3.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.9% | 1.6% | 30% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +4.2% | 13.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 miss | 3.09 | 3.07 | -0.5% | +5.7% | +11.1% | -5.1% | -13.6% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 2.86 | 2.90 | +1.3% | +10.7% | +14.4% | -0.5% | -3.7% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 2.63 | 2.87 | +9.2% | +6.7% | -0.4% | +3.5% | -5.4% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.77 | 1.93 | +8.8% | -7.9% | -7.5% | -10.0% | +33.8% |
| 2025-08-13 beat | 2.47 | 2.49 | +0.8% | +5.3% | +1.6% | -3.0% | -2.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.57 | 2.66 | +3.6% | -8.5% | -14.8% | -2.1% | +23.1% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.86 | 2.80 | +50.9% | +14.2% | +16.3% | +4.5% | -8.3% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.95 | +38.6% | +7.2% | +7.5% | +11.1% | +26.9% |
| 2024-08-14 miss | 1.72 | 1.61 | -6.6% | -13.9% | -10.7% | +10.4% | +12.0% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +8.0% | +2.7% | +7.9% | +6.3% | +30.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.