ECL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 4.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | +0.4% | 5.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 2.08 | 2.09 | +0.5% | +2.4% | +4.2% | +0.1% | +2.7% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.70 | 1.70 | +0.2% | +0.0% | -0.3% | -3.5% | -2.5% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 2.07 | 2.08 | +0.7% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +1.0% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-28 miss | 2.07 | 2.07 | -0.1% | -1.0% | -4.1% | -3.6% | +2.5% |
| 2025-07-29 miss | 1.90 | 1.89 | -0.3% | -1.1% | -3.9% | +2.7% | +8.1% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.1% | +2.7% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +7.0% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.7% | +8.8% | +6.2% | +1.9% | -3.9% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.82 | 1.83 | +0.3% | -4.2% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.67 | 1.68 | +0.5% | -10.4% | -7.7% | +2.1% | +9.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.33 | 1.34 | +0.5% | +2.0% | +2.0% | +3.0% | +1.1% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.8% | +5.3% | +9.0% | -1.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.52 | 1.54 | +1.2% | +0.6% | +5.4% | +3.7% | +14.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.21 | 1.24 | +2.4% | -0.1% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.86 | 0.88 | +2.2% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.25 | 1.27 | +1.5% | +1.7% | +7.1% | +0.5% | +0.2% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.2% | -4.6% | -9.0% | -1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.09 | 1.10 | +0.9% | -1.2% | -2.7% | +4.4% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -0.7% | +0.2% | -4.1% | -1.2% | -6.3% |
| 2022-02-15 miss | 1.28 | 1.28 | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -5.6% | -6.3% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.30 | 1.38 | +6.5% | +1.1% | +3.9% | -1.5% | +0.5% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.22 | 1.22 | +0.2% | -1.0% | +0.8% | -0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2021-04-27 miss | 0.81 | 0.81 | -0.6% | -1.9% | -3.7% | +4.8% | -1.5% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 1.25 | 1.23 | -1.5% | +0.0% | -4.1% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.6% | +0.9% | -4.2% | +1.5% | +14.9% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.75 | 0.65 | -13.4% | -3.1% | -8.6% | -2.3% | +1.7% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 1.06 | 1.13 | +6.6% | +3.5% | +5.4% | -2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 1.70 | 1.66 | -2.6% | -0.1% | +0.2% | -6.2% | -24.6% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.71 | 1.71 | +0.2% | -2.7% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -3.9% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.41 | 1.42 | +0.5% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -4.4% | -0.4% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.02 | 1.03 | +1.4% | -2.0% | -0.2% | -2.4% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.