ED chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.1% | 1.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.0% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | +0.5% | 4.3% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +7.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 2.27 | 2.18 | -3.8% | +0.9% | -0.1% | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2026-02-19 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.4% | +1.9% | -1.9% | +2.5% | -0.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.3% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +3.2% | -2.7% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.8% | +1.1% | -0.5% | -3.6% | -7.2% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 2.21 | 2.26 | +2.4% | -2.0% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -6.2% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.96 | 0.98 | +2.1% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +8.7% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 1.58 | 1.68 | +6.3% | +0.6% | +0.6% | -1.7% | -3.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.4% | +2.9% | +1.6% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 1.90 | 2.15 | +13.4% | +0.8% | +0.3% | +2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +2.8% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.59 | 1.62 | +2.0% | +1.8% | -0.1% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.67 | 0.61 | -8.4% | +0.3% | -1.1% | +1.7% | -3.1% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.57 | 1.83 | +16.8% | +0.3% | +1.0% | +0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.80 | 0.81 | +1.4% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -2.6% | -0.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 1.46 | 1.63 | +11.3% | -0.2% | +1.5% | -1.0% | +8.4% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +9.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +0.6% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 1.48 | 1.47 | -0.8% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.86 | 1.00 | +16.1% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +1.4% | +5.5% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 1.47 | 1.41 | -4.3% | +1.3% | +2.5% | -1.4% | +4.3% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.62 | 0.53 | -14.7% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +6.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +1.1% | -2.3% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.0% | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.7% | +5.7% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 1.51 | 1.48 | -2.1% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +4.9% | -4.2% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +12.4% | -0.9% | +1.6% | -2.1% | -3.1% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 1.41 | 1.35 | -4.2% | +1.1% | +0.1% | -5.1% | +3.4% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.80 | 0.87 | +9.4% | -3.6% | -4.7% | -12.6% | -27.5% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 1.58 | 1.54 | -2.4% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -1.8% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -1.9% | +1.3% | +0.2% | +1.3% | +5.2% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.37 | 1.39 | +1.8% | +0.5% | +1.0% | -0.8% | +1.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.