EFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 2.3% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.4% | 65% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +0.9% | 3.4% | 68% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.46 | 0.60 | +30.9% | +2.4% | +3.5% | +0.5% | -1.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.78 | +73.3% | +1.9% | +3.5% | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +2.4% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -3.0% | -8.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +20.7% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +16.6% | +2.7% | +2.5% | +5.9% | +5.2% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.3% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -1.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +17.7% | +0.8% | +7.9% | -5.2% | -7.6% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.4% | +3.1% | +3.2% | -2.0% | -1.3% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -6.7% | +3.2% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.36 | 0.28 | -22.2% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +2.7% | +1.5% |
| 2024-02-26 miss | 0.40 | 0.27 | -32.6% | -3.9% | -6.4% | -2.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.43 | 0.33 | -22.5% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +5.1% | +3.1% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 0.45 | 0.38 | -15.2% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.7% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +8.6% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.8% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -10.4% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.5% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +5.1% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -7.2% | +0.5% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -9.5% |
| 2022-05-05 miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -9.9% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -5.0% | -0.7% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -5.4% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -4.6% | -0.9% | -1.5% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +11.0% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.51 | 0.37 | -27.7% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -1.5% | +1.8% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | 0.48 | 0.41 | -13.9% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +6.9% | +15.7% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.39 | +44.7% | +3.5% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +1.7% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.15 | 0.46 | +399.0% | +3.2% | +4.1% | -6.7% | +21.7% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +10.1% | -1.9% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -51.4% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +4.8% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2019-08-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +10.7% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +1.4% | +0.3% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.39 | 0.45 | +15.9% | +0.0% | +0.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| 2019-02-20 miss | 0.37 | 0.30 | -21.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.2% | +5.6% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.6% | +1.8% | +2.4% | -1.2% | -2.5% |
| 2018-08-06 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -4.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2018-05-07 miss | 0.70 | 0.32 | -54.9% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +3.8% | +2.3% |
| 2018-02-13 miss | 0.28 | 0.19 | -31.3% | -1.0% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +1.0% |
| 2017-11-06 miss | 0.29 | 0.23 | -20.1% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -2.5% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 0.34 | 0.25 | -26.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 0.40 | 0.34 | -13.5% | +1.5% | +2.9% | -0.5% | -2.4% |
| 2017-02-13 beat | 0.22 | 0.27 | +21.9% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2016-11-03 miss | 0.31 | 0.19 | -38.1% | -2.2% | -1.5% | +3.7% | +3.8% |
| 2016-08-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.25 | -29.9% | -1.0% | +1.0% | +1.2% | -1.5% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.47 | 0.35 | -25.1% | -2.6% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2016-02-16 beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +31.1% | -3.7% | +0.2% | +2.4% | +5.0% |
| 2015-11-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.51 | +9.2% | -2.8% | -1.8% | +1.1% | -4.7% |
| 2015-08-06 beat | 0.44 | 0.52 | +19.1% | -0.1% | -0.6% | +2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2015-05-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.51 | -11.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -4.3% |
| 2015-02-11 beat | 0.38 | 0.56 | +46.3% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.6% | -2.8% |
| 2014-11-05 miss | 0.64 | 0.45 | -30.3% | -1.2% | -2.2% | -0.7% | -8.2% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.64 | 0.49 | -23.3% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +3.0% | -2.7% |
| 2014-05-07 miss | 0.67 | 0.54 | -19.4% | +0.2% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -0.2% |
| 2014-02-12 miss | 0.63 | 0.48 | -24.5% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.2% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2013-08-05 miss | 0.72 | 0.51 | -28.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% | -5.8% |
| 2013-05-06 miss | 0.73 | 0.48 | -33.7% | +1.8% | +2.5% | -5.9% | -13.2% |
| 2013-02-13 beat | 0.60 | 1.19 | +97.9% | +1.4% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -4.5% |
| 2012-11-07 beat | 0.80 | 1.59 | +98.2% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.72 | 0.64 | -10.7% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +3.3% | -2.9% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | 0.68 | 1.90 | +177.8% | +3.8% | +5.5% | +1.7% | -2.8% |
| 2012-02-13 miss | 0.71 | 0.10 | -85.8% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2011-11-07 miss | 0.74 | -0.07 | -109.5% | -0.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -5.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.