ELS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.4% | 2.0% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.1% | 3.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +9.9% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -0.1% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -1.0% | -0.4% | -3.4% | -1.0% | +0.4% |
| 2026-01-28 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -0.4% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +5.8% | +8.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.8% | -2.6% | -3.8% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2025-07-21 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.6% | -1.6% | -0.3% | -2.3% | -1.5% |
| 2025-04-21 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.9% | -3.0% | -1.1% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -0.9% | -0.8% | -3.9% | -2.5% | +2.6% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 0.44 | 0.42 | -4.3% | -0.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +2.9% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.8% | +1.5% | -2.1% | +3.3% | +7.2% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.3% | +0.0% | -1.5% | -2.4% | +3.8% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +8.2% | +1.6% | +1.5% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2023-10-16 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.2% | -1.7% | +4.3% | -4.3% | +2.0% |
| 2023-07-17 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -1.6% | -0.4% | -1.9% | +8.6% | +1.4% |
| 2023-04-17 miss | 0.54 | 0.42 | -21.9% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +0.6% | -2.2% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +29.6% | +2.1% | +6.1% | +1.0% | -6.4% |
| 2022-10-17 miss | 0.47 | 0.38 | -19.3% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -2.4% | +2.9% |
| 2022-07-18 miss | 0.44 | 0.33 | -23.8% | -0.6% | -3.4% | +1.3% | +9.0% |
| 2022-04-18 miss | 0.55 | 0.43 | -22.2% | +1.3% | +3.2% | -1.8% | -13.7% |
| 2022-01-24 miss | 0.43 | 0.34 | -20.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -2.1% |
| 2021-10-18 miss | 0.42 | 0.38 | -10.4% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2021-07-19 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +14.3% | +1.1% | +3.2% | +2.1% | +1.1% |
| 2021-04-19 miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% |
| 2021-01-25 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.1% | +0.2% | +1.2% | -1.9% | -3.1% |
| 2020-10-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +8.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -3.8% | -2.8% |
| 2020-07-20 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.1% | +0.1% | -1.6% | +6.6% | +3.5% |
| 2020-04-20 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.6% | -1.5% | -2.6% | +6.9% | +2.2% |
| 2020-01-27 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +7.1% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +1.5% | -3.0% |
| 2019-10-21 beat | 0.15 | 0.30 | +103.1% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +1.4% | +4.8% |
| 2019-07-22 miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -4.6% | +0.3% | +1.4% | -0.7% | +9.3% |
| 2019-04-22 beat | 0.35 | 0.63 | +78.7% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.