ELV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -0.6% | 6.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.7% | 4.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 1.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -1.2% | 10.4% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 6.21 | 7.45 | +20.0% | -8.0% | -8.5% | -0.3% | +2.0% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 10.81 | 12.58 | +16.4% | +3.0% | +0.0% | +14.8% | +18.8% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 3.09 | 3.33 | +7.7% | -2.3% | +5.9% | -0.4% | -6.4% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 4.94 | 6.03 | +22.0% | -2.6% | -1.2% | -3.0% | -9.5% |
| 2025-07-17 miss | 8.92 | 8.84 | -0.9% | -3.1% | -12.2% | -7.3% | +2.4% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 11.48 | 11.97 | +4.3% | +0.9% | +2.3% | -0.5% | -3.8% |
| 2025-01-23 miss | 3.85 | 3.84 | -0.3% | +3.6% | +2.7% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 9.65 | 8.37 | -13.3% | -18.5% | -10.6% | -5.7% | -9.8% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 10.01 | 10.12 | +1.1% | -4.9% | -5.8% | -1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 10.53 | 10.64 | +1.1% | +2.3% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.