ENPH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -3.8% | 16.4% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 4.2% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.2% | 2.9% | 65% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | -0.1% | 20.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.8% | +7.1% | -3.4% | +11.1% | +11.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.47 | +5.5% | -0.8% | -9.1% | +14.8% | +119.2% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 0.58 | 0.71 | +21.4% | +28.8% | +38.6% | -6.7% | -22.1% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.90 | +37.2% | -13.6% | -15.1% | +3.4% | -7.4% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +10.8% | -5.8% | -14.2% | -8.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-04-22 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -6.0% | -11.4% | -15.6% | -1.1% | -15.7% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 0.75 | 0.94 | +24.7% | +3.4% | -1.5% | -6.4% | -5.6% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.78 | 0.65 | -16.8% | -16.7% | -14.9% | +5.1% | -19.0% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 0.48 | 0.43 | -9.6% | +5.4% | +12.8% | -1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2024-04-23 miss | 0.39 | 0.35 | -10.2% | -0.8% | -5.6% | -1.9% | +9.6% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 0.55 | 0.54 | -2.2% | +18.9% | +16.9% | +12.0% | +10.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.00 | 1.02 | +1.7% | -14.5% | -14.6% | -1.6% | +20.7% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.27 | 1.47 | +15.9% | -10.1% | -7.5% | -9.3% | -18.8% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.22 | 1.37 | +12.2% | -19.0% | -25.7% | -5.1% | +0.5% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.26 | 1.51 | +19.9% | +8.1% | -4.2% | -0.5% | -4.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.09 | 1.25 | +14.5% | +9.5% | +9.9% | -0.8% | +9.4% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 0.85 | 1.07 | +25.7% | +8.9% | +17.9% | +13.9% | +17.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 0.69 | 0.79 | +15.3% | +10.2% | +7.7% | +15.8% | +7.9% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.59 | 0.73 | +22.8% | +23.5% | +12.0% | -4.9% | +5.7% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 0.49 | 0.60 | +22.1% | +18.5% | +24.7% | +9.4% | +14.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.