EPR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -1.6% | 5.6% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +4.7% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.3% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | +2.8% | +4.2% | -5.3% | -19.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.93 | +16.3% | -1.6% | -6.0% | +0.8% | +7.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.91 | +31.5% | -0.4% | -2.9% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.78 | +25.4% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +3.9% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.1% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.69 | +0.0% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.64 | 0.52 | -18.5% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +32.6% | +1.2% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | 0.61 | 0.58 | -5.4% | +1.9% | -0.8% | +3.2% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +21.8% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +10.4% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.9% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.1% | -1.6% | +3.7% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 0.59 | 0.42 | -28.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -3.5% | -16.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.1% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +6.3% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -13.9% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +0.2% | -18.3% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.2% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -8.4% | -4.9% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +42.4% | +5.2% | +7.0% | +3.8% | +7.9% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +25.5% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -8.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.