EPR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.5% | 5.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -1.2% | 5.6% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +4.7% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.3% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.5% | +2.8% | +4.2% | -5.3% | -19.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.93 | +16.3% | -1.6% | -6.0% | +0.8% | +7.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.91 | +31.5% | -0.4% | -2.9% | -1.6% | -1.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.78 | +25.4% | +1.3% | +2.6% | +3.9% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.1% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -0.8% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.69 | +0.0% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.64 | 0.52 | -18.5% | +1.0% | +0.6% | -3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +32.6% | +1.2% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | 0.61 | 0.58 | -5.4% | +1.9% | -0.8% | +3.2% | +1.8% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.94 | +21.8% | +0.1% | +1.0% | +10.4% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.9% | +0.0% | -3.0% | -0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.1% | -1.6% | +3.7% | +1.1% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 0.59 | 0.42 | -28.9% | +0.7% | +1.1% | -3.5% | -16.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.1% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +6.3% |
| 2022-08-01 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -13.9% | +0.5% | -2.0% | +0.2% | -18.3% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +4.2% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -8.4% | -4.9% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.47 | +42.4% | +5.2% | +7.0% | +3.8% | +7.9% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.29 | +25.5% | +0.5% | -2.3% | -1.5% | -8.8% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +230.8% | +3.7% | -2.0% | -5.0% | -2.7% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.21 | -0.06 | +70.7% | +0.9% | +1.8% | -2.6% | +10.7% |
| 2021-02-24 miss | -0.34 | -0.38 | -9.7% | +1.5% | -7.2% | -0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2020-11-04 miss | -0.10 | -0.52 | -390.6% | -0.9% | +3.6% | +13.1% | +28.4% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | 0.11 | -0.13 | -222.2% | -0.5% | +2.0% | +9.2% | +14.2% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.62 | 0.42 | -31.9% | -3.5% | -3.4% | -3.0% | +71.7% |
| 2020-02-24 miss | 0.74 | 0.63 | -14.7% | +1.2% | -1.5% | -9.1% | -59.3% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.74 | 0.36 | -51.4% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -3.7% | -8.5% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +5.0% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +3.9% | +5.4% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.9% | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.1% | -1.7% |
| 2019-02-25 miss | 0.84 | 0.65 | -22.4% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +4.4% |
| 2018-10-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.15 | +31.4% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018-07-30 miss | 1.43 | 1.18 | -17.2% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +5.6% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.45 | 0.74 | +64.7% | +1.4% | +3.5% | -2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2018-02-28 beat | 0.91 | 0.98 | +7.9% | -5.9% | -7.7% | +5.0% | +2.3% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | 0.85 | 0.77 | -9.8% | -2.3% | -3.9% | -0.8% | -1.4% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | 0.79 | 0.79 | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -3.8% | +0.9% |
| 2017-05-02 miss | 0.76 | 0.72 | -5.6% | +0.3% | -2.9% | -0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.77 | 0.84 | +9.9% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -5.7% | -4.1% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.0% | -0.7% | -0.1% | -3.6% | +0.9% |
| 2016-08-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +3.4% | +0.7% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.0% | -0.6% | +1.0% | +7.0% | +8.2% |
| 2016-02-24 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.0% | +4.7% | +2.9% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2015-10-28 miss | 0.78 | 0.77 | -0.7% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +1.2% | -2.0% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.74 | 0.83 | +10.8% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -0.7% | -10.6% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.94 | +79.5% | +1.5% | -1.2% | -2.0% | -1.9% |
| 2015-02-24 beat | 0.75 | 0.83 | +11.1% | -1.6% | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2014-10-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.69 | -17.2% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +3.8% | +2.6% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.69 | 0.66 | -3.6% | -6.1% | -9.3% | -2.3% | +3.0% |
| 2014-04-29 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.4% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 0.71 | 1.19 | +67.6% | +2.3% | +2.2% | -0.3% | +0.2% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.68 | 0.99 | +45.5% | -0.6% | +2.0% | -3.0% | -5.0% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.0% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -2.5% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.8% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +5.8% | -6.1% |
| 2013-02-26 beat | 0.59 | 0.66 | +13.2% | +2.9% | +2.9% | +1.3% | +7.4% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 0.64 | 0.68 | +6.0% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +3.4% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +2.4% | +1.2% | +7.2% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.5% | -0.8% | -3.6% | -3.4% | -11.3% |
| 2012-02-23 beat | 0.57 | 0.71 | +23.5% | +0.4% | +5.5% | +0.1% | +4.2% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +0.7% | -1.8% | +1.7% | -3.6% | -3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.