ERIC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -2.0% | 8.9% | 48% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.2% | 9.6% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +30.2% | -10.3% | -13.5% | -5.4% | +0.4% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +4.8% | -0.2% | -6.5% | -0.9% | +12.9% |
| 2026-01-23 beat | 0.25 | 0.31 | +26.4% | +8.5% | +8.9% | +3.5% | +5.8% |
| 2025-10-14 beat | 0.12 | 0.36 | +191.8% | +15.3% | +20.6% | -2.7% | +1.4% |
| 2025-07-15 beat | 0.13 | 0.16 | +16.6% | -2.3% | -7.9% | +4.3% | +5.8% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.09 | 0.15 | +74.1% | +6.8% | +8.3% | +3.0% | +4.8% |
| 2025-01-24 miss | 0.21 | 0.16 | -24.4% | -10.3% | -14.4% | -1.7% | +8.9% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +98.8% | +9.0% | +13.1% | -1.2% | -6.3% |
| 2024-07-12 miss | 0.07 | 0.06 | -13.9% | +3.0% | +4.5% | -1.6% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | — | 0.09 | +4715.6% | +6.7% | +1.9% | +9.8% | +16.4% |
| 2024-01-23 miss | 0.20 | 0.14 | -28.3% | +2.1% | +0.9% | -3.7% | -7.3% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +16.2% | -4.2% | -2.9% | -4.1% | +5.4% |
| 2023-07-14 beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +79.8% | -10.1% | -12.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +87.7% | -5.1% | -9.0% | -3.0% | -2.4% |
| 2023-01-20 miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -1.7% | -4.4% | -4.2% | +2.5% | -1.2% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +4.1% | -16.2% | -15.3% | +1.1% | +12.3% |
| 2022-07-14 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -15.6% | -8.8% | -9.2% | +9.7% | +12.5% |
| 2022-04-14 miss | 0.13 | 0.10 | -26.3% | -5.0% | -9.3% | +0.5% | -7.7% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +43.5% | +5.7% | +7.3% | +5.7% | -15.4% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +22.3% | -2.5% | -3.8% | -5.4% | -6.6% |
| 2021-07-16 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -16.3% | -9.1% | -10.8% | -1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2021-04-21 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -3.7% | +3.8% | +5.9% | -2.1% | -4.6% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.21 | 0.28 | +32.8% | +11.3% | +7.2% | +5.5% | +2.2% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +29.4% | +8.4% | +11.8% | -8.5% | -2.5% |
| 2020-07-17 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +44.5% | +10.7% | +13.2% | +4.6% | +6.8% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +2.4% | +4.5% | +2.9% | +0.6% | +2.7% |
| 2020-01-24 miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -4.0% | -7.7% | -7.2% | -5.6% | +0.2% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 0.08 | 0.15 | +90.8% | +6.2% | +5.2% | -0.1% | +0.8% |
| 2019-07-17 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -23.7% | -7.5% | -10.9% | +1.5% | -4.2% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +64.7% | +3.5% | +7.3% | -4.6% | -9.8% |
| 2019-01-25 miss | 0.13 | 0.05 | -61.2% | +4.8% | +4.2% | -0.6% | +4.2% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.04 | 0.11 | +215.6% | +3.9% | +5.3% | -5.2% | -7.0% |
| 2018-07-18 miss | 0.02 | -0.01 | -149.5% | +7.6% | +8.2% | -0.1% | -6.2% |
| 2018-04-20 beat | -0.02 | 0.01 | +178.9% | +16.0% | +17.2% | -2.4% | -0.5% |
| 2018-01-31 | 0.03 | 0.03 | — | -5.7% | -8.1% | -0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2017-10-20 miss | 0.04 | -0.02 | -138.0% | +8.0% | +9.3% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 2017-07-18 miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -80.7% | -13.6% | -16.6% | +4.6% | +0.5% |
| 2017-04-25 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -47.4% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +5.8% | +11.8% |
| 2017-01-26 miss | 0.10 | 0.07 | -26.3% | +0.7% | +3.1% | -3.3% | +6.1% |
| 2016-10-21 miss | 0.06 | 0.04 | -38.0% | -4.1% | -5.0% | -4.5% | +1.8% |
| 2016-07-19 miss | 0.14 | 0.10 | -29.3% | -4.8% | -6.1% | +5.2% | +3.0% |
| 2016-04-21 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -16.2% | -12.0% | -15.2% | -0.7% | -8.3% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +18.5% | -6.3% | -6.5% | -2.2% | +2.3% |
| 2015-10-23 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -8.1% | -8.8% | -7.1% | -0.6% | -3.4% |
| 2015-07-17 beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +31.1% | +4.2% | +2.4% | -0.4% | -3.5% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.13 | 0.09 | -32.0% | -10.9% | -8.8% | -5.7% | -3.4% |
| 2015-01-27 miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -14.8% | -1.1% | -2.3% | +3.7% | +6.2% |
| 2014-10-24 miss | 0.19 | 0.15 | -17.4% | -2.5% | -2.9% | +3.2% | +9.9% |
| 2014-07-18 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -7.5% | +7.9% | +8.7% | +0.5% | -2.0% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -25.0% | -6.2% | -5.5% | -2.4% | +0.5% |
| 2014-01-30 beat | 0.25 | 0.37 | +51.1% | +3.3% | +5.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +12.4% | -5.2% | -4.5% | -3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2013-07-18 miss | 0.18 | 0.13 | -27.5% | -4.1% | -4.8% | +1.9% | +6.1% |
| 2013-04-24 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +6.6% | +1.3% | +3.9% | +3.0% | -2.4% |
| 2013-01-31 miss | 0.17 | 0.17 | -0.8% | +10.4% | +8.7% | +5.3% | +7.7% |
| 2012-10-26 beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +24.4% | -4.9% | -4.3% | +1.8% | +6.6% |
| 2012-07-18 miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -17.6% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +0.2% | +13.2% |
| 2012-04-25 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -7.2% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +2.0% | -9.6% |
| 2012-01-25 miss | 0.24 | 0.08 | -64.0% | -15.1% | -15.4% | +8.9% | +18.7% |
| 2011-10-20 miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -1.0% | +7.4% | +4.4% | +10.6% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.