ERIE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.4% | 4.7% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.0% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.7% | 7.7% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 3.35 | 3.45 | +2.9% | +2.9% | +3.6% | +4.4% | +5.6% |
| 2026-04-23 miss | 3.06 | 2.90 | -5.3% | -0.1% | -6.1% | -8.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 1.59 | 2.76 | +73.7% | -2.0% | -2.6% | +5.9% | -8.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 3.37 | 3.49 | +3.5% | +1.9% | -5.5% | -2.7% | +1.1% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 3.55 | 3.35 | -5.7% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -7.2% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 3.19 | 2.65 | -16.9% | -7.0% | -11.5% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 2.82 | 2.91 | +3.1% | +1.6% | +5.7% | +4.4% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.99 | 3.02 | +1.1% | +0.5% | -7.5% | +2.9% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.55 | 3.17 | +24.2% | +2.4% | +8.7% | +3.9% | +15.2% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.33 | 2.39 | +2.7% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 2.13 | 2.19 | +2.7% | -0.8% | +9.9% | +4.9% | +4.8% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 2.06 | 2.54 | +23.4% | -0.9% | -6.4% | +1.8% | +5.3% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.91 | 2.28 | +19.5% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +25.2% | +27.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.56 | 1.75 | +12.4% | -2.2% | -1.5% | +4.9% | +1.5% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 1.32 | 1.31 | -0.9% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.79 | 1.71 | -4.5% | +1.0% | +4.5% | +6.0% | +8.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 1.62 | 1.69 | +4.3% | -0.7% | +4.2% | +5.6% | +5.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 1.45 | 1.43 | -1.7% | -1.5% | -4.9% | +6.2% | +4.7% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | 1.12 | 1.06 | -5.7% | -4.8% | -1.9% | -3.5% | +0.1% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 1.73 | 1.70 | -1.8% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +9.0% | -9.7% |
| 2021-07-29 miss | 1.51 | 1.47 | -2.7% | -2.4% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -4.6% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | 1.41 | 1.39 | -1.2% | -1.2% | -2.9% | -1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.09 | 1.13 | +3.5% | -0.8% | -1.5% | -3.1% | -7.3% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | 1.65 | 1.62 | -2.0% | -0.4% | -1.4% | +1.6% | -3.4% |
| 2020-07-30 miss | 1.48 | 1.47 | -0.8% | +2.0% | +0.4% | +3.4% | +1.6% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 1.53 | 1.34 | -12.4% | -0.4% | -8.6% | -2.5% | +10.5% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.31 | 1.13 | -13.8% | -2.2% | -7.6% | +5.9% | +22.0% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.68 | 1.77 | +5.6% | +0.0% | +1.8% | -1.4% | -7.4% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 1.64 | 1.66 | +1.1% | -1.3% | -12.4% | -5.1% | -9.3% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 1.37 | 1.40 | +2.4% | -0.7% | +5.1% | +0.5% | +11.1% |
| 2019-02-21 beat | 1.01 | 1.23 | +21.3% | +2.2% | +5.6% | +3.5% | -1.7% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 1.36 | 1.54 | +13.2% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -0.4% | +3.3% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 1.40 | 1.53 | +9.6% | +0.3% | +2.0% | +2.5% | +2.8% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.14 | 1.26 | +10.9% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -3.0% | -4.6% |
| 2018-02-22 miss | 0.76 | 0.61 | -19.1% | +1.1% | +0.9% | +1.1% | +2.5% |
| 2017-10-26 miss | 1.11 | 1.11 | -0.2% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-07-27 miss | 1.21 | 1.12 | -7.6% | -0.5% | +4.1% | -1.4% | -5.4% |
| 2017-05-01 miss | 0.94 | 0.91 | -2.9% | -1.3% | -3.0% | -4.0% | -1.4% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.75 | 0.87 | +16.0% | +1.7% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 1.04 | 1.08 | +3.6% | +1.3% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +6.4% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 1.05 | 1.17 | +11.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.6% | +4.1% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.81 | 0.89 | +10.4% | -0.9% | +3.2% | +0.2% | +3.7% |
| 2016-02-25 miss | 0.64 | 0.58 | -9.0% | -1.4% | -6.2% | +2.0% | -0.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.93 | 0.95 | +2.1% | -0.2% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +11.4% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.07 | +8.4% | +1.9% | +5.9% | -0.1% | -5.0% |
| 2015-04-30 miss | 0.90 | 0.74 | -17.6% | -0.5% | -3.2% | +1.8% | +0.7% |
| 2015-02-26 miss | 0.71 | 0.48 | -32.5% | -0.4% | -6.1% | -2.2% | +1.9% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.0% | -1.7% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2014-07-31 miss | 0.95 | 0.94 | -1.2% | +0.4% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.78 | 0.87 | +11.8% | +0.7% | +4.7% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.67 | +23.2% | +0.7% | +1.7% | -2.8% | -3.9% |
| 2013-10-31 miss | 0.96 | 0.86 | -10.0% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2013-08-01 miss | 0.92 | 0.84 | -8.9% | +0.0% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -7.2% |
| 2013-04-29 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.5% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +1.4% | -7.6% |
| 2013-02-26 miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.7% | -0.5% | -1.3% | +2.3% | +4.8% |
| 2012-11-01 beat | 0.83 | 0.93 | +11.9% | +0.7% | +4.9% | +0.5% | +6.6% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | 0.94 | 0.82 | -12.6% | -4.9% | -6.4% | -2.3% | -3.6% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | 0.80 | 0.64 | -20.0% | -5.7% | -9.0% | +1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2012-02-27 miss | 0.58 | 0.47 | -18.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | +1.8% |
| 2011-11-03 beat | 0.77 | 0.93 | +20.3% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.