ERJ chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +2.4% | 7.2% | 61% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.9% | 4.1% | 39% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.3% | 3.4% | 67% |
| 5-day | +5.3% | +5.2% | 9.2% | 83% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.50 | 0.30 | -41.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.44 | 0.43 | -3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.40 | -2362.8% | -4.6% | -0.2% | +6.3% | +2.6% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.61 | 0.94 | +55.5% | +1.4% | +10.7% | +9.2% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.76 | 1.20 | +59.4% | +1.6% | +6.4% | +1.3% | -0.7% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.30 | 0.44 | +47.9% | +3.5% | +10.5% | +9.1% | +14.9% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.23 | -0.07 | +69.7% | -1.4% | -1.9% | +8.6% | +5.9% |
| 2024-03-18 miss | 0.69 | 0.38 | -44.8% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +15.2% | +3.9% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +6.0% | -0.1% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +24.5% |
| 2023-08-14 beat | 0.14 | 0.32 | +119.3% | +3.5% | -1.9% | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.18 | -0.48 | -169.0% | -2.3% | -9.0% | +1.5% | +15.6% |
| 2023-03-10 miss | 0.31 | 0.24 | -25.0% | +6.0% | +4.3% | +5.3% | +13.2% |
| 2022-11-14 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +33.1% | -3.5% | -5.3% | +9.6% | +7.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.07 | 0.40 | +677.1% | +5.1% | +6.6% | +9.3% | +0.1% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.29 | -0.43 | -47.8% | +1.2% | +7.6% | -1.1% | -8.1% |
| 2022-03-09 beat | 0.11 | 0.31 | +189.2% | -11.2% | -15.8% | +4.4% | +5.7% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | -0.16 | -0.18 | -12.7% | +5.3% | +8.2% | -3.5% | -13.7% |
| 2021-08-13 beat | -0.28 | 0.24 | +183.4% | +5.5% | +7.3% | -6.7% | +3.2% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -0.40 | -0.52 | -30.8% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +6.0% | +18.4% |
| 2021-03-19 beat | -0.41 | -0.07 | +83.6% | +2.2% | +6.8% | -13.3% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.