ESAB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -1.9% | 7.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 3.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | -1.0% | 3.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -3.5% | 8.0% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 1.38 | 1.33 | -3.6% | -0.5% | +2.2% | -9.9% | -20.6% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 1.34 | 1.31 | -1.9% | -1.5% | +0.8% | -11.0% | -14.1% |
| 2026-02-20 beat | 1.34 | 1.35 | +0.7% | +0.7% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -25.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +3.7% | -3.0% | -5.6% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.35 | 1.36 | +1.0% | -1.8% | -17.2% | +4.7% | +7.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.6% | +3.3% | -1.6% | +6.5% | +3.4% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.16 | 1.28 | +9.9% | -2.7% | -4.0% | +3.3% | -1.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.4% | +3.9% | +12.7% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 1.27 | 1.32 | +4.1% | -0.4% | -2.3% | -1.4% | +2.5% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.10 | 1.20 | +8.7% | +1.5% | -4.4% | +8.1% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.