ESE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +2.2% | 6.4% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.7% | +1.8% | 8.8% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 2.12 | 2.20 | +3.9% | -6.1% | -6.8% | +0.0% | -11.0% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.8% | -9.8% | -8.9% | -4.4% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 1.32 | 1.64 | +24.2% | +3.6% | +6.2% | +6.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | 2.13 | 2.32 | +8.7% | +6.9% | +2.5% | -4.9% | -5.5% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 1.65 | 1.60 | -2.8% | -7.9% | +1.8% | -4.2% | +3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.25 | 1.35 | +8.3% | +5.2% | +6.3% | +4.5% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.73 | 1.07 | +47.1% | +8.0% | +19.7% | +1.5% | -0.2% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.7% | +7.9% | +3.1% | +3.2% | -4.5% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.20 | 1.16 | -3.6% | -1.0% | +3.5% | +5.0% | -1.1% |
| 2024-05-10 beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +8.5% | +1.2% | -0.3% | +5.4% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 0.65 | 0.62 | -5.1% | -1.6% | -5.9% | +7.2% | +1.3% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | 1.22 | 1.25 | +2.5% | +1.4% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.09 | +9.4% | +1.9% | +2.7% | -1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.5% | +2.4% | +1.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.8% | -0.6% | -6.1% | +2.8% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | 1.16 | 1.21 | +4.0% | +9.7% | +3.6% | +0.7% | -2.6% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +1.9% | +0.6% | +3.1% | +12.9% | +2.7% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.4% | +4.6% | +6.9% | +1.0% | +3.0% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 0.52 | 0.46 | -12.1% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -3.1% | -2.8% |
| 2021-11-18 beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +9.4% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -9.6% | -7.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.