ESS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 1.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.1% | 1.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -0.3% | 4.6% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.47 | 0.94 | -36.0% | -2.3% | -5.0% | +1.2% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 1.43 | 1.65 | +15.6% | +0.5% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 1.47 | 1.25 | -14.9% | -1.0% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 1.67 | 1.59 | -4.7% | +1.2% | +1.1% | +2.6% | +4.2% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.41 | 1.48 | +5.1% | -2.0% | -7.6% | -5.2% | -0.2% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.41 | 1.44 | +2.6% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 1.36 | 0.65 | -52.5% | -1.4% | +3.0% | -1.8% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-29 miss | 1.35 | 1.34 | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -0.1% | +5.6% |
| 2024-07-30 miss | 1.45 | 1.43 | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.36 | 2.06 | +51.5% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +5.8% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 1.46 | 1.01 | -30.9% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -0.8% | +7.2% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 1.44 | 1.37 | -5.2% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +5.2% | +2.9% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.39 | 1.58 | +13.5% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +10.9% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2023-02-07 miss | 1.40 | 1.37 | -2.5% | -0.4% | +2.1% | +1.7% | -10.1% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 1.41 | 1.19 | -15.9% | -1.7% | -2.9% | -3.4% | -5.0% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 1.58 | 0.87 | -44.8% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -0.7% | +2.3% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 1.28 | 1.08 | -15.7% | -1.2% | -0.8% | -5.4% | -17.2% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 1.05 | 2.25 | +113.9% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -3.1% | +4.1% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.04 | 1.21 | +15.7% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.