ETN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 3.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +2.2% | 5.7% | 58% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 3.08 | 3.15 | +2.4% | +8.6% | +7.3% | +8.1% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.73 | 2.81 | +2.9% | -5.8% | -2.7% | -2.3% | +1.9% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 3.32 | 3.33 | +0.3% | -2.8% | +0.9% | +4.1% | -2.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 3.05 | 3.07 | +0.5% | -6.7% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -10.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 2.92 | 2.95 | +0.9% | -6.2% | -7.4% | +1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 2.71 | 2.72 | +0.6% | -2.6% | -0.6% | +3.4% | +8.7% |
| 2025-01-31 beat | 2.81 | 2.83 | +0.7% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -4.1% | -14.5% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 2.81 | 2.84 | +1.2% | -5.2% | -3.3% | +8.7% | +12.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.61 | 2.73 | +4.5% | -4.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% | +3.0% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.29 | 2.40 | +4.9% | +1.1% | -2.5% | +2.9% | +5.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 2.47 | 2.55 | +3.2% | +3.9% | +7.5% | +3.3% | +12.1% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 2.34 | 2.47 | +5.7% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +3.8% | +9.5% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 2.11 | 2.21 | +4.7% | +3.0% | +6.7% | +0.5% | +5.1% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.78 | 1.88 | +5.3% | +0.1% | +2.6% | -1.6% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 2.05 | 2.06 | +0.6% | -1.1% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +0.8% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 2.01 | 2.02 | +0.6% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +4.3% | +7.7% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.82 | 1.87 | +2.8% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +0.0% | -6.7% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.4% | -1.4% | +0.1% | -3.8% | -3.9% |
| 2022-02-04 beat | 1.71 | 1.72 | +0.4% | -1.4% | -3.7% | -0.2% | -3.2% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.73 | 1.75 | +1.3% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +1.8% | -2.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.57 | 1.72 | +9.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% | +2.8% | +2.4% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.24 | 1.44 | +15.8% | -0.8% | +0.2% | +0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.3% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +11.6% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 1.05 | 1.18 | +12.9% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +3.2% | +4.9% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.70 | +32.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | -0.6% | +5.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.09 | +1.6% | -0.5% | -2.7% | -3.9% | +1.4% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 1.40 | 1.37 | -2.4% | +2.6% | +5.7% | +2.6% | -7.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.51 | 1.52 | +0.5% | -0.8% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +4.5% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.3% | -0.6% | +2.5% | -5.1% | -6.3% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.25 | 1.26 | +1.2% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -8.4% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.46 | +1.9% | +3.2% | +4.6% | +0.1% | +6.6% |
| 2018-10-30 miss | 1.43 | 1.43 | -0.1% | -3.7% | -1.0% | +7.0% | +8.0% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 1.32 | 1.39 | +4.9% | +0.4% | +4.1% | -0.7% | +0.5% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.0% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +1.3% | +3.7% |
| 2018-02-01 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +3.8% | +3.5% | +4.6% | -9.6% | -8.7% |
| 2017-10-31 miss | 1.25 | 1.25 | -0.2% | -1.6% | +1.0% | -1.7% | -2.8% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.8% | -3.5% | -5.1% | -1.7% | -4.3% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.3% | +2.1% | +1.3% | -0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.5% | -0.9% | -1.8% | +1.1% | +2.6% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.15 | +0.2% | -1.6% | -4.8% | +3.8% | +11.4% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 1.07 | 1.07 | +0.2% | +1.7% | +0.1% | +2.9% | +4.0% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.4% | -1.1% | +0.1% | -3.1% | -2.6% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 1.10 | 1.17 | +6.6% | +6.0% | +7.1% | +2.3% | +10.4% |
| 2015-10-30 miss | 0.98 | 0.97 | -0.6% | +0.0% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +4.5% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 1.13 | 1.16 | +2.4% | -2.3% | +0.5% | -3.5% | -8.4% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.98 | 1.01 | +2.7% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +2.9% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 1.20 | 1.27 | +5.8% | +5.4% | +8.4% | +1.4% | -0.6% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.7% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +3.6% | +2.9% |
| 2014-07-29 miss | 1.11 | 1.11 | -0.4% | -2.2% | -8.1% | -4.3% | -1.0% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +0.8% | -0.8% | -3.2% | +0.3% | +2.6% |
| 2014-02-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.08 | +1.8% | -2.5% | -2.3% | +2.0% | +9.7% |
| 2013-10-25 miss | 1.12 | 1.12 | -0.3% | -0.7% | +4.6% | -1.4% | +1.6% |
| 2013-08-02 miss | 1.11 | 1.09 | -1.6% | -4.7% | -5.5% | -0.7% | -4.5% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +6.8% | +3.0% | +2.8% | +3.0% | +11.5% |
| 2013-02-05 miss | 0.95 | 0.82 | -14.1% | +0.6% | +4.9% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2012-10-31 miss | 1.11 | 1.07 | -3.3% | -0.4% | +4.7% | +4.9% | +10.5% |
| 2012-07-23 beat | 1.09 | 1.15 | +5.4% | -1.6% | +3.9% | +8.3% | +12.6% |
| 2012-04-23 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +2.7% | -2.4% | -0.1% | +1.6% | -10.0% |
| 2012-01-26 miss | 1.11 | 1.08 | -2.7% | -3.5% | -1.2% | +0.8% | +6.6% |
| 2011-10-24 miss | 1.08 | 1.08 | -0.4% | +0.0% | +4.7% | +1.3% | -3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.