ETR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +0.5% | 4.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 2.2% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.6% | 25% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +0.0% | 3.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.4% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -0.9% | -1.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.84 | 0.86 | +2.3% | +2.6% | +1.3% | -1.5% | -4.9% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -2.5% | -0.5% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +4.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 1.43 | 1.53 | +6.7% | -1.1% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +2.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.05 | +15.1% | +2.2% | +1.2% | +1.1% | -1.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.69 | 0.82 | +19.6% | -2.1% | -1.8% | +0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.63 | 0.66 | +4.3% | +3.5% | +6.0% | -2.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.49 | 1.50 | +0.5% | +5.7% | +15.2% | -5.7% | -1.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.88 | 0.96 | +9.0% | +1.3% | +4.2% | -3.0% | -0.1% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.72 | 0.54 | -24.6% | -1.4% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.4% | -1.0% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.50 | 1.64 | +8.9% | +0.4% | +2.2% | -0.8% | +4.4% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.84 | 0.92 | +8.9% | +0.9% | +0.2% | -4.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.69 | 0.57 | -17.4% | -0.6% | -3.4% | +0.0% | -7.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +1.9% | -0.8% | +0.7% | -0.9% | -2.0% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.32 | 1.42 | +7.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -1.5% | +6.6% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.70 | 0.89 | +27.4% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -3.6% | -0.6% | +0.0% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +12.3% | +0.0% | +0.2% | +1.8% | +7.6% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 1.23 | 1.23 | -0.4% | +0.7% | -0.4% | +0.1% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.