EW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +0.9% | 11.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | +2.5% | 10.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.1% | +5.0% | -1.4% | +4.2% | +9.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.73 | 0.78 | +7.3% | +3.5% | +5.6% | -0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.62 | 0.58 | -6.3% | +2.0% | +3.0% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +12.6% | +1.2% | -1.2% | +1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.6% | +7.5% | +5.5% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.60 | 0.64 | +7.5% | +5.3% | +6.6% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +6.4% | +4.4% | +6.9% | -1.5% | -8.6% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +14.0% | -2.1% | -1.4% | -2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.9% | -26.4% | -31.3% | +3.6% | +18.7% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.66 | +2.8% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -1.4% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.