EXC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.3% | 33% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | +0.8% | 3.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -3.9% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +1.2% | -2.5% | -1.7% | +1.6% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +8.0% | +3.3% | +7.0% | +0.5% | +5.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.5% | +2.7% | +0.4% | -2.0% | -5.3% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +6.1% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -2.8% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.86 | 0.92 | +6.9% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -3.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.0% | -3.5% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.9% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -3.5% | -0.4% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.47 | +19.4% | -0.6% | +2.8% | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.70 | 0.68 | -2.3% | +1.6% | +0.1% | +1.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +3.1% | +2.7% | +4.3% | -1.1% | +2.3% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -1.9% | +0.9% | +3.0% | -3.6% | -4.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.3% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -3.0% | -3.3% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.70 | +6.0% | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.4% | -6.2% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.43 | 0.43 | -0.3% | +1.5% | +2.0% | -0.5% | +0.3% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +6.5% | -5.0% | -2.8% | +5.5% | +13.0% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -3.8% | -3.4% | -3.3% | +2.8% | +0.3% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -2.1% | +1.0% | +0.1% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | 0.78 | 0.90 | +14.9% | -1.1% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +10.4% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 1.10 | 1.09 | -0.5% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +0.7% | -2.4% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.67 | 0.89 | +33.6% | -0.4% | -1.3% | +3.1% | +7.1% |
| 2021-05-05 miss | 0.07 | -0.06 | -188.0% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -1.0% | +4.8% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +9.3% | -1.9% | -1.5% | -1.6% | +7.9% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.87 | 1.04 | +19.3% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.43 | 0.55 | +27.2% | -1.1% | +2.0% | -2.2% | -1.9% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.8% | +0.7% | +6.8% | -5.7% | +8.2% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.73 | 0.83 | +13.7% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +0.5% | -28.5% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.1% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -1.7% | -3.5% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -3.1% | -2.3% | -1.5% | +2.3% | +6.4% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.2% | +0.8% | -1.1% | -2.0% | -2.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.