EXPD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -1.7% | 5.6% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.1% | 2.5% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.6% | 1.7% | 75% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +0.6% | 7.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.69 | 2.03 | +19.9% | -0.3% | +6.4% | -2.4% | +2.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.34 | 1.71 | +27.8% | +6.6% | +9.6% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +2.4% | -4.3% | -7.2% | +6.6% | +3.1% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.39 | 1.64 | +18.1% | +6.1% | +10.8% | +2.8% | +10.9% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.24 | 1.34 | +7.9% | -1.4% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +4.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.37 | 1.47 | +7.5% | -4.3% | -5.0% | +8.6% | +4.7% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.43 | 1.68 | +17.1% | +4.8% | +3.9% | +0.4% | -1.4% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 1.33 | 1.63 | +23.0% | +4.0% | +1.4% | -2.7% | -1.3% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 1.27 | 1.24 | -2.0% | -7.0% | -4.3% | +2.7% | +5.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.09 | 1.17 | +7.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +9.2% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 1.21 | 1.09 | -10.2% | -5.2% | -6.9% | +2.7% | +3.5% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 1.28 | 1.16 | -9.4% | -0.5% | -1.0% | +7.2% | +8.8% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 1.36 | 1.30 | -4.7% | -0.7% | -4.4% | -3.5% | -3.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.33 | 1.47 | +10.6% | -2.2% | -2.8% | +2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-21 miss | 1.96 | 1.38 | -29.5% | -3.5% | -5.6% | -0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 1.94 | 2.54 | +30.6% | +3.6% | +9.1% | +10.8% | +3.3% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.13 | 2.27 | +6.5% | -3.2% | -4.0% | +1.3% | +0.6% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.71 | 2.07 | +21.3% | -2.0% | +2.6% | +6.2% | +6.2% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 2.09 | 2.66 | +27.5% | +0.4% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.76 | 2.09 | +18.5% | +1.3% | -3.1% | +2.8% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.