FAST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 5.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 2.8% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.2% | 5.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 beat | 0.33 | 0.33 | +1.2% | -1.0% | -2.8% | -1.6% | +14.2% |
| 2026-04-13 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +0.7% | -0.9% | -6.9% | -0.5% | -5.4% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.5% | -4.1% | -2.6% | +3.1% | +8.4% |
| 2025-10-13 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -2.2% | -4.8% | -7.5% | +1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2025-07-14 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +7.3% | +2.4% | +4.2% | +2.1% | +7.5% |
| 2025-04-11 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.1% | -0.8% | +6.4% | -0.4% | -0.8% |
| 2025-01-17 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -3.8% | +2.1% | +1.8% | +0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2024-10-11 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +1.0% | +5.4% | +9.8% | +1.4% | +9.8% |
| 2024-07-12 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +0.1% | +5.6% | +2.0% | +3.7% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-11 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -2.0% | -3.2% | -6.5% | -3.4% | -2.9% |
| 2024-01-18 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +2.3% | +4.2% | +7.2% | +1.9% | +3.4% |
| 2023-10-12 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.5% | +4.8% | +7.5% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2023-07-13 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.8% | -2.9% | -3.5% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2023-04-13 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +3.1% | -3.2% | -0.4% | +4.3% | +4.6% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +2.6% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +6.0% | +14.2% |
| 2022-10-13 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.8% | -3.5% | +2.5% | -3.1% | +10.7% |
| 2022-07-13 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.2% | -4.8% | -6.4% | +3.7% | +16.7% |
| 2022-04-13 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +4.5% | -1.7% | +2.2% | -2.2% | -10.7% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.2% | +3.9% | -0.6% | -4.7% | -11.6% |
| 2021-10-12 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.1% | +1.8% | +3.1% | +4.5% | +9.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.