FCNCA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.2% | 6.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 2.4% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +2.0% | 7.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 40.16 | 57.09 | +42.2% | +3.4% | +6.5% | -2.6% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 39.23 | 44.86 | +14.3% | -1.4% | -3.4% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2026-01-23 beat | 43.79 | 51.27 | +17.1% | -5.3% | -8.5% | +2.6% | -1.8% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 41.49 | 44.62 | +7.5% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +4.5% |
| 2025-07-25 beat | 39.09 | 44.78 | +14.5% | +2.7% | -0.8% | -8.7% | -6.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 37.69 | 37.79 | +0.3% | +1.4% | +1.1% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2025-01-24 beat | 39.11 | 45.10 | +15.3% | +4.5% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -10.4% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 47.50 | 45.87 | -3.4% | -6.4% | -9.7% | +3.1% | +25.2% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 44.82 | 50.87 | +13.5% | +2.0% | +10.1% | +1.1% | -1.8% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 44.15 | 52.92 | +19.9% | -0.1% | +9.8% | -4.8% | -1.1% |
| 2024-01-26 miss | 49.34 | 46.58 | -5.6% | -2.1% | +5.5% | +2.0% | +6.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 48.83 | 55.92 | +14.5% | +3.0% | +8.7% | -1.7% | +2.4% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 48.15 | 52.60 | +9.2% | -0.8% | +5.0% | -1.8% | -8.3% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 12.51 | 20.09 | +60.6% | +11.1% | +7.4% | +12.2% | +9.3% |
| 2023-01-26 miss | 22.98 | 20.94 | -8.9% | -0.7% | -3.4% | +1.6% | -3.5% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 19.65 | 20.77 | +5.7% | +2.3% | -7.5% | +2.6% | +0.7% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 17.02 | 16.86 | -0.9% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +6.6% | +9.8% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 8.53 | 18.95 | +122.2% | +5.5% | +7.2% | -0.4% | +4.4% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 10.95 | 12.64 | +15.5% | +1.9% | -6.1% | +3.1% | +2.8% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 11.21 | 11.81 | +5.4% | +1.5% | -3.0% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.