FCX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 5.3% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 3.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 3.4% | 48% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.2% | 8.1% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 0.62 | 0.74 | +18.5% | -3.6% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +20.7% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.47 | 0.57 | +21.9% | -11.5% | -12.6% | -6.0% | +0.8% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 0.32 | 0.47 | +46.7% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +10.7% | +11.4% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +22.8% | +1.6% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -3.3% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.44 | 0.54 | +21.8% | -2.5% | -2.1% | -12.7% | -7.0% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.6% | +1.1% | +6.9% | -3.2% | +3.7% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.22 | 0.31 | +43.2% | -2.5% | -1.5% | -4.8% | -3.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +2.8% | +4.3% | +1.2% | -4.0% | -10.0% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +21.3% | -2.2% | -1.6% | -3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +12.9% | -3.1% | -2.0% | +4.1% | +6.8% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +17.1% | +6.5% | +4.1% | -0.1% | -1.9% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +15.1% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -4.3% | +2.2% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -1.4% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +3.3% | -7.3% |
| 2023-04-21 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +16.2% | -3.8% | -4.1% | -4.4% | -10.2% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +9.9% | -0.8% | +4.6% | -3.9% | -14.5% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.0% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +12.4% | +24.8% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 0.65 | 0.58 | -11.3% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +3.2% | +5.3% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.92 | 1.07 | +16.1% | -2.8% | -9.9% | -6.9% | -19.2% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +20.6% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.81 | 0.89 | +9.9% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -0.4% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.2% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +10.5% | -5.7% |
| 2021-04-22 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.4% | -2.6% | -3.2% | +10.5% | +17.6% |
| 2021-01-26 miss | 0.40 | 0.39 | -1.4% | +1.3% | -6.8% | +4.2% | +32.1% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.21 | 0.29 | +36.6% | -1.0% | +3.6% | -4.7% | +15.8% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +217.3% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -2.9% | +7.8% |
| 2020-04-24 beat | -0.17 | -0.16 | +5.2% | +5.2% | +8.6% | -0.2% | +9.2% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | — | 0.02 | +771.1% | -7.1% | -2.8% | -5.4% | -6.1% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +12.1% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +0.0% | +8.7% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | -0.05 | -0.04 | +26.8% | -0.9% | +2.5% | -7.4% | -23.5% |
| 2019-04-25 miss | 0.08 | 0.05 | -38.8% | -4.1% | -10.1% | -5.7% | -17.4% |
| 2019-01-24 miss | 0.18 | 0.11 | -39.5% | -6.8% | -13.1% | +8.8% | +23.9% |
| 2018-10-24 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +8.9% | +0.9% | -7.8% | +8.9% | +0.7% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 0.52 | 0.58 | +11.1% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -1.8% | -10.6% |
| 2018-04-24 miss | 0.56 | 0.46 | -17.5% | -2.2% | -14.5% | -7.0% | +7.9% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.8% | +1.8% | +1.1% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +10.9% | +0.2% | -3.5% | -2.2% | -2.4% |
| 2017-07-25 miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -15.3% | +3.0% | +14.7% | -2.6% | +2.8% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.15 | +1.9% | +2.4% | +7.1% | -2.9% | -9.2% |
| 2017-01-25 miss | 0.34 | 0.25 | -26.6% | -3.4% | -3.1% | +2.1% | -19.7% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 0.19 | 0.13 | -30.2% | +2.6% | +3.6% | +5.7% | +53.6% |
| 2016-07-26 miss | -0.01 | -0.02 | -106.2% | -6.3% | +2.4% | -2.2% | -12.6% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | -0.18 | -0.16 | +12.6% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +4.6% | +1.5% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | -0.19 | -0.02 | +89.3% | +11.7% | +6.6% | +3.6% | +69.5% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | -0.09 | -0.15 | -73.9% | -3.4% | +0.6% | -3.2% | -31.4% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +70.6% | +1.7% | -9.4% | -13.2% | -29.8% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | -0.06 | -0.06 | -8.8% | -3.6% | -2.4% | +15.9% | +4.6% |
| 2015-01-27 miss | 0.35 | 0.25 | -29.0% | -7.0% | -6.0% | +3.3% | +14.9% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.3% | -1.0% | -4.2% | -4.3% | +1.1% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +9.8% | -0.1% | -0.4% | -1.7% | -4.9% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +18.2% | +2.3% | +1.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2014-01-22 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.5% | -0.9% | -2.1% | -6.3% | -3.4% |
| 2013-10-22 beat | 0.63 | 0.83 | +31.3% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +3.6% | -0.5% |
| 2013-07-23 miss | 0.44 | 0.25 | -44.0% | +1.7% | +2.9% | -5.9% | +1.2% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +0.7% | -1.5% | +0.2% | +6.5% | +16.5% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +3.9% | +1.2% | +4.6% | -0.5% | -8.1% |
| 2012-10-22 miss | 0.73 | 0.68 | -6.3% | -2.6% | -1.5% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.76 | 0.80 | +5.6% | +1.1% | +4.2% | -6.1% | +2.7% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | 0.85 | 0.96 | +13.4% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -16.4% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.63 | 0.72 | +13.6% | +0.3% | -0.2% | +4.8% | -3.0% |
| 2011-10-19 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +2.8% | -0.6% | -2.8% | +14.3% | +7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.