FDX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 8.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | -0.3% | 2.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +1.4% | 1.9% | 80% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.9% | 6.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 beat | 5.92 | 6.31 | +6.5% | -0.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -0.6% |
| 2026-03-19 beat | 4.18 | 5.25 | +25.5% | +6.9% | +0.8% | -4.1% | +10.0% |
| 2025-12-18 beat | 4.11 | 4.82 | +17.2% | -5.2% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +7.3% |
| 2025-09-18 beat | 3.61 | 3.83 | +6.0% | +0.8% | +2.3% | +2.6% | +3.5% |
| 2025-06-24 beat | 5.80 | 6.07 | +4.6% | -4.8% | -3.3% | +7.7% | +9.5% |
| 2025-03-20 miss | 4.63 | 4.51 | -2.6% | -10.7% | -6.4% | +4.9% | -10.3% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 3.97 | 4.05 | +2.1% | +6.6% | -0.1% | +1.7% | -0.9% |
| 2024-09-19 miss | 4.77 | 3.60 | -24.5% | -13.2% | -15.2% | +5.1% | +5.6% |
| 2024-06-25 beat | 5.37 | 5.41 | +0.7% | +12.5% | +15.5% | -0.8% | +1.3% |
| 2024-03-21 beat | 3.48 | 3.86 | +10.9% | +8.0% | +7.4% | -1.5% | -4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.