FERG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 7.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.9% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.5% | 9.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 3.30 | 3.39 | +2.8% | +2.3% | +2.8% | -7.1% | -15.4% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 2.19 | 2.28 | +4.3% | -0.9% | -3.1% | -5.8% | -8.8% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 2.09 | 2.10 | +0.6% | -1.7% | +4.2% | -5.3% | -12.6% |
| 2025-06-03 beat | 2.02 | 2.50 | +24.0% | +11.7% | +17.2% | +2.5% | +5.7% |
| 2025-03-11 miss | 1.60 | 1.52 | -4.8% | -5.8% | -5.2% | +3.8% | +4.9% |
| 2024-12-10 miss | 2.61 | 2.45 | -6.2% | -10.1% | -10.5% | -5.1% | -12.6% |
| 2024-09-17 beat | 2.86 | 2.98 | +4.1% | +1.9% | +5.0% | -2.9% | -2.1% |
| 2024-06-04 beat | 2.31 | 2.32 | +0.2% | -0.7% | -2.9% | +2.5% | -3.1% |
| 2024-03-05 miss | 1.84 | 1.74 | -5.6% | -4.1% | -6.7% | +1.3% | +10.1% |
| 2023-12-05 beat | 2.62 | 2.65 | +1.3% | +2.7% | +3.5% | +5.1% | +7.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.