FHN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 1.5% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 55% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.1% | 5.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.8% | -3.6% | -3.0% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2026-01-15 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.1% | +1.2% | +1.6% | -2.1% | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +14.6% | +1.9% | -9.4% | -1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.2% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +4.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.3% | -3.2% | -1.6% | +2.8% | +17.7% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.0% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.1% | +2.3% | +4.1% | -1.0% | +15.9% |
| 2024-07-17 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.4% | -5.4% | -5.8% | -0.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +5.4% | +12.3% |
| 2024-01-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.1% | +1.9% | +5.1% | +6.0% | -0.3% |
| 2023-10-18 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +10.6% | -0.7% | +1.8% | -6.1% | +9.8% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.2% | +0.6% | +0.4% | +5.9% | -1.0% |
| 2023-04-18 miss | 0.47 | 0.45 | -4.7% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -6.0% | -40.9% |
| 2023-01-18 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +5.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +3.2% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2022-07-19 miss | 0.35 | 0.34 | -3.3% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 0.35 | 0.38 | +9.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -4.8% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.48 | +28.0% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -1.6% | +4.1% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +22.7% | +0.2% | +1.5% | -3.4% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.