FHN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -0.3% | 4.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +1.0% | 1.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.6% | 5.3% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +3.8% | -3.6% | -3.0% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.7% | -2.0% | -0.3% | +1.7% | -1.9% |
| 2026-01-15 beat | 0.46 | 0.52 | +12.1% | +1.2% | +1.6% | -2.1% | +1.4% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 0.45 | 0.51 | +14.6% | +1.9% | -9.4% | -1.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +8.2% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +4.2% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-16 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.3% | -3.2% | -1.6% | +2.8% | +17.7% |
| 2025-01-16 beat | 0.39 | 0.43 | +10.0% | -1.8% | -0.4% | -1.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-10-16 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +11.1% | +2.3% | +4.1% | -1.0% | +15.9% |
| 2024-07-17 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -1.4% | -5.4% | -5.8% | -0.5% | -5.3% |
| 2024-04-17 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +2.6% | +2.7% | +1.9% | +5.4% | +12.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.