FI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.2% | -0.4% | 7.3% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 58% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.2% | 8.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-29 miss | 2.65 | 2.04 | -22.9% | -43.4% | -44.0% | -9.3% | -12.9% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 2.43 | 2.47 | +1.5% | -17.5% | -13.8% | -1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 2.08 | 2.14 | +3.1% | -11.1% | -18.5% | +3.5% | -9.9% |
| 2025-02-05 miss | 1.92 | 1.64 | -14.5% | +4.8% | +7.1% | -0.8% | -5.0% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.26 | 2.30 | +1.6% | -2.7% | +1.3% | +0.6% | +9.2% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.10 | 2.13 | +1.4% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +4.7% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.79 | 1.88 | +5.1% | +7.0% | +4.4% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 2.15 | 2.19 | +1.7% | -1.8% | -2.1% | +1.8% | +6.5% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.93 | 1.96 | +1.7% | +3.2% | +5.3% | -1.5% | +8.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +0.9% | -4.1% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -5.2% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.56 | 1.58 | +1.1% | +0.8% | +2.4% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.91 | 1.91 | +0.0% | +2.7% | +8.3% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 1.69 | 1.63 | -3.8% | -5.8% | -2.9% | -4.3% | +3.0% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.55 | 1.56 | +0.8% | +1.9% | +4.3% | +3.9% | +3.9% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.35 | 1.40 | +3.6% | +2.8% | +5.0% | +1.6% | -1.6% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.56 | 1.57 | +0.9% | -5.9% | -6.0% | -2.5% | -4.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.45 | 1.47 | +1.5% | -2.6% | -10.0% | +2.7% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +7.1% | +1.5% | +3.0% | -5.7% | +3.9% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.13 | 1.17 | +3.5% | -1.3% | -3.9% | -3.0% | -5.2% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 1.29 | 1.30 | +0.7% | +0.4% | -3.6% | +3.3% | +13.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 1.16 | 1.20 | +3.9% | +0.4% | -3.2% | +8.2% | +23.5% |
| 2020-08-05 miss | 0.93 | 0.93 | -0.1% | +3.0% | +4.5% | -2.8% | -3.3% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.99 | 0.99 | +0.4% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -4.5% | +2.5% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 1.14 | 1.13 | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.8% | -2.1% | -12.2% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.02 | +2.7% | +2.9% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +4.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.8% | +2.7% | +6.2% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.82 | 0.84 | +2.2% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-07 miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.7% | -0.1% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-31 miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.4% | -6.6% | -5.5% | +6.5% | +6.4% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.8% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +3.8% | +6.4% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.8% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +3.6% | +6.2% |
| 2018-02-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.5% | +10.0% | +3.0% | +5.6% | +11.0% |
| 2017-10-31 miss | 0.65 | 0.64 | -2.7% | -4.2% | -3.0% | +2.6% | +3.9% |
| 2017-08-01 miss | 0.62 | 0.60 | -3.3% | -3.7% | -4.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2017-04-26 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2017-02-08 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.3% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +7.7% |
| 2016-10-26 beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +0.6% | -6.8% | -3.2% | +1.4% | +10.2% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.6% | -2.5% | -4.5% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2016-05-05 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +4.3% | -0.5% | +3.4% | +1.2% | +3.8% |
| 2016-02-02 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.3% | +2.1% | +1.9% | -2.2% | +2.5% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.8% | +0.8% | +1.2% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.5% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +3.0% | -0.3% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2015-02-03 beat | 0.44 | 0.45 | +0.4% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +2.3% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.2% | +2.2% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +5.6% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +0.4% | -1.4% | +0.3% | -2.0% | +2.9% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.3% | +1.0% | +5.7% | +1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2014-02-05 miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -2.4% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.2% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +0.1% | +4.5% |
| 2013-07-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.0% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +0.1% |
| 2013-04-30 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -1.3% | -4.7% | -4.6% | +2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2013-02-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | -2.2% | +2.0% |
| 2012-07-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +2.0% | -3.1% | -2.9% | -1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2012-05-01 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.7% | -3.9% | -1.3% | -5.1% | -6.1% |
| 2012-02-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.32 | +0.2% | +1.5% | +4.4% | -2.5% | +0.3% |
| 2011-11-01 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +2.0% | +1.2% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +1.6% |
| 2011-07-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +4.3% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -4.6% | -13.6% |
| 2011-04-27 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.7% | -0.5% | -4.5% | +0.0% | +3.2% |
| 2011-02-03 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.8% | -3.4% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.