FIG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | +4.5% | 14.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 4.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -4.4% | 6.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | -6.4% | 17.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.08 | +74.8% | -17.5% | -14.8% | +9.9% | +0.6% |
| 2026-05-14 beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +61.0% | +10.1% | +13.2% | -0.9% | -21.6% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +23.7% | +7.5% | +6.9% | +16.9% | -8.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.05 | 0.13 | +182.3% | +4.1% | +4.5% | -11.8% | -18.1% |
| 2025-09-03 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +11.0% | -18.0% | -19.9% | +2.6% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.