FLL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +4.9% | 13.0% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 5.5% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 7.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.0% | +4.2% | 18.0% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.18 | -0.24 | -33.1% | +0.0% | +11.0% | -8.2% | -17.3% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.24 | -0.23 | +5.8% | +2.7% | +16.0% | -10.1% | -17.8% |
| 2026-03-05 miss | -0.24 | -0.34 | -42.6% | -2.2% | +18.1% | -2.6% | -4.1% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | -0.20 | -0.21 | -3.0% | +0.0% | +9.6% | -6.5% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | -0.20 | -0.29 | -44.9% | -4.3% | -18.0% | -1.7% | -5.5% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.12 | -0.26 | -118.8% | +3.3% | -4.8% | +16.9% | +4.1% |
| 2025-03-06 miss | -0.19 | -0.33 | -76.0% | +6.5% | +2.9% | -5.6% | -26.0% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | -0.06 | -0.30 | -393.7% | -5.2% | -8.1% | -5.3% | -9.0% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | -0.18 | -0.23 | -26.1% | +1.0% | -3.3% | +1.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | -0.17 | -0.33 | -99.6% | -0.8% | +6.0% | -1.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-03-05 miss | -0.14 | -0.36 | -155.2% | +1.8% | +5.1% | -7.8% | +5.8% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | -0.12 | 0.13 | +204.8% | +14.1% | +18.7% | +8.2% | +9.9% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -63.6% | -6.0% | -17.2% | -2.0% | -10.4% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | -0.13 | -0.04 | +70.8% | +1.9% | +9.4% | -1.0% | +4.7% |
| 2023-03-07 beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +56.1% | -1.6% | -10.7% | -14.8% | -23.0% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +40.2% | -7.0% | -5.2% | +14.9% | +26.2% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -64.0% | -5.1% | -0.9% | +21.2% | +6.9% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | -0.02 | 0.14 | +825.0% | -5.6% | -12.8% | +15.7% | +15.7% |
| 2022-03-08 beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +80.4% | +9.2% | +18.4% | -1.9% | -2.2% |
| 2021-11-08 | — | 0.13 | — | +2.6% | +2.8% | -3.1% | +6.3% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.15 | +110.0% | +5.7% | +8.7% | -12.9% | -1.4% |
| 2021-05-10 miss | 0.06 | -0.13 | -316.7% | -4.3% | +5.4% | +0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2021-03-08 miss | 0.14 | 0.12 | -11.8% | +3.0% | +5.6% | +3.2% | +14.8% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | — | 0.30 | +6006.6% | +9.0% | +13.4% | +2.1% | +12.5% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.27 | -0.25 | +7.0% | +3.0% | +17.9% | +1.0% | -2.0% |
| 2020-05-13 miss | -0.07 | -0.16 | -144.1% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +29.5% | +13.0% |
| 2020-03-12 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -62.0% | -13.2% | -38.5% | -38.3% | +7.5% |
| 2019-10-31 miss | 0.07 | 0.07 | -0.4% | +1.2% | +12.9% | +2.5% | +28.2% |
| 2019-08-08 | — | -0.05 | — | +1.2% | +4.7% | +3.3% | +9.4% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | -0.01 | -0.06 | -485.0% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -11.1% | -19.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.