FLYW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +4.1% | 14.2% | 71% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.5% | 5.8% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.5% | 4.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +2.9% | 14.8% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -3.9% | +3.2% | +8.1% | -6.4% | +0.3% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +18.4% | +14.7% | +20.5% | -9.6% | -17.8% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.14 | 0.14 | +2.6% | +8.9% | +11.4% | +2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.8% | +8.5% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -2.7% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -71.0% | +26.2% | +16.8% | +0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +16.2% | -1.7% | +8.6% | +1.9% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -5.9% | -48.6% | -37.4% | -2.8% | -10.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.39 | +38.0% | +12.5% | +14.7% | +4.5% | -2.8% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +80.5% | -1.5% | +2.8% | -3.3% | -4.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.07 | 0.10 | +43.9% | -17.8% | -16.1% | -2.2% | -0.9% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +96.2% | +28.3% | +17.7% | -8.9% | -14.0% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -2.9% | -31.4% | -25.3% | +9.0% | +5.5% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.08 | -0.05 | +37.9% | +5.0% | +6.2% | -9.3% | -5.9% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +51.3% | +5.7% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +8.0% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +32.7% | +9.2% | +4.1% | +5.3% | +12.7% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +13.3% | +0.1% | +4.9% | +19.2% | +11.5% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | -0.11 | -0.10 | +11.8% | +5.8% | +12.8% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -0.02 | -0.02 | +30.6% | -2.5% | -8.2% | -4.5% | -13.0% |
| 2022-03-02 miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -26.7% | +8.8% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +20.6% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | -0.01 | 0.12 | +1208.1% | +6.3% | +1.7% | -2.5% | -11.4% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | -0.14 | -0.06 | +52.7% | +4.5% | -0.2% | +2.5% | +28.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.