FMS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -2.0% | 4.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | -2.1% | 6.4% | 37% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +13.1% | -4.6% | -4.9% | -0.6% | -5.7% |
| 2026-05-03 miss | 0.50 | 0.46 | -8.6% | -6.9% | -10.9% | +10.2% | +8.6% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 0.55 | 0.72 | +30.0% | -8.2% | -7.8% | +3.1% | -1.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.1% | -9.1% | -7.8% | -1.2% | -3.8% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -2.4% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.7% | +7.0% | +7.0% | +2.2% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +13.6% | +1.3% | +0.6% | -2.6% | +3.5% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.41 | +16.0% | -0.5% | +1.4% | +4.3% | +18.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.4% | -5.2% | -3.6% | -5.0% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.25 | 0.32 | +29.9% | -7.2% | -6.1% | +9.3% | +6.5% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.30 | 0.44 | +46.4% | -3.6% | -2.3% | -4.8% | -4.7% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.31 | 0.28 | -8.1% | +0.9% | +3.3% | -1.0% | +22.1% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.4% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +2.7% | -5.1% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +50.2% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +2.6% | +0.3% |
| 2023-02-22 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +8.3% | +4.6% | +0.6% | -9.3% | -2.5% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 0.34 | 0.21 | -37.3% | -2.4% | -1.3% | +4.1% | +16.7% |
| 2022-07-28 miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -10.5% | -14.0% | -14.1% | -4.6% | -12.0% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +30.8% | -3.6% | -2.2% | -3.0% | -7.3% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -9.9% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -3.0% | +0.4% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +5.8% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -10.0% |
| 2021-07-30 miss | 0.43 | 0.38 | -12.8% | -3.4% | -4.7% | +0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +11.8% | -2.7% | -2.0% | +4.0% | +6.0% |
| 2021-02-23 miss | 0.68 | 0.64 | -6.6% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +4.2% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +12.0% | -1.3% | -2.1% | +8.3% | +11.7% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +21.2% | +0.9% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -3.4% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.48 | -18.1% | +1.2% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +13.0% |
| 2020-02-20 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +7.9% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -8.5% | -30.5% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -0.9% | +4.3% | +4.7% | +7.9% | +5.8% |
| 2019-07-30 miss | 0.49 | 0.46 | -5.2% | -7.3% | -6.5% | -5.9% | -6.5% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +15.6% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -3.6% | -11.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.