FNF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.9% | 3.3% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.6% | 2.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 2.1% | 65% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.3% | 5.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.32 | 1.39 | +5.4% | +2.1% | +2.8% | -6.8% | -12.9% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.09 | 0.93 | -14.7% | -7.8% | -2.0% | -4.9% | -6.4% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 1.50 | 1.41 | -5.8% | +0.0% | -3.8% | +1.4% | -14.7% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.42 | 1.63 | +14.5% | +5.0% | +4.6% | +2.1% | -0.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.41 | 1.16 | -17.6% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +4.4% | +4.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 1.11 | 0.78 | -29.9% | -4.7% | -7.1% | -3.6% | -8.2% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.21 | 1.34 | +10.7% | +3.9% | +3.3% | +8.5% | +9.1% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 1.42 | 1.30 | -8.7% | -2.6% | -2.9% | +3.1% | +3.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 1.31 | 1.24 | -5.2% | -3.0% | -0.9% | +4.2% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.85 | 0.76 | -10.8% | -2.7% | +0.9% | -1.3% | -6.9% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | 1.00 | 0.75 | -25.0% | -1.8% | -5.4% | +1.2% | +3.3% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 1.15 | 1.23 | +6.7% | +0.6% | +3.4% | +2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-08 miss | 1.04 | 1.01 | -2.6% | +0.9% | +2.8% | +0.6% | +5.0% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.86 | 0.52 | -39.4% | -6.1% | -4.8% | +3.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 1.16 | 1.06 | -8.8% | -1.1% | -5.7% | -3.5% | -15.8% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | 1.46 | 1.07 | -26.7% | -1.2% | -2.5% | +3.0% | +0.3% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.60 | 1.90 | +19.0% | -1.1% | -2.0% | +4.3% | +3.3% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 1.28 | 1.37 | +6.9% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +3.1% | -1.9% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 1.63 | 2.16 | +32.9% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +5.2% | +11.0% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.64 | 2.12 | +29.3% | +1.8% | -0.9% | +6.8% | +3.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.