FTAI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 7.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.5% | 3.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.5% | 9.8% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 2.09 | 1.26 | -39.5% | -6.3% | +0.1% | +12.0% | -1.3% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.60 | 1.46 | -8.4% | +9.3% | +17.2% | +9.2% | -0.7% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.18 | 1.24 | +4.7% | -4.0% | +2.7% | -11.8% | -22.9% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 1.20 | 1.16 | -3.4% | +1.3% | -3.1% | -13.4% | -5.2% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.26 | 1.65 | +30.8% | +10.8% | +26.6% | -4.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.88 | 1.02 | +16.3% | -4.3% | -18.9% | +26.6% | +38.5% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.87 | 0.88 | +0.7% | -1.8% | -7.6% | -16.5% | -13.3% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.85 | +8.6% | -4.7% | -7.5% | +11.6% | +24.1% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 0.44 | 0.79 | +78.2% | +3.9% | +1.3% | +2.0% | +9.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -0.6% | +0.0% | -3.4% | +10.7% | +19.6% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.40 | 1.20 | +201.9% | +6.5% | +6.3% | +0.5% | +14.0% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.4% | +5.0% | +7.0% | +10.7% | +17.6% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.29 | 0.54 | +90.1% | -1.0% | -4.3% | +1.8% | +10.0% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.5% | +1.9% | +2.7% | -4.3% | -1.4% |
| 2023-02-23 miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -19.7% | +3.0% | +7.3% | +0.3% | -5.8% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.17 | 0.04 | -74.8% | -0.2% | +7.5% | -1.5% | -5.3% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.41 | 0.19 | -52.9% | -0.9% | +7.0% | -7.3% | -13.0% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -0.07 | -0.99 | -1242.2% | -3.1% | -11.4% | -5.7% | -6.6% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.03 | -0.03 | -7.9% | -0.4% | +1.7% | -12.9% | -1.0% |
| 2021-10-28 miss | 0.02 | -0.29 | -1557.0% | -0.1% | -4.5% | +1.9% | -14.1% |
| 2021-07-28 miss | -0.23 | -0.31 | -33.9% | -0.3% | -1.2% | -5.3% | -2.6% |
| 2021-04-29 miss | -0.32 | -0.44 | -34.6% | -2.1% | -5.6% | +0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2021-02-25 miss | -0.27 | -0.38 | -40.9% | +1.2% | +3.5% | +14.9% | +4.4% |
| 2020-10-29 miss | -0.10 | -0.22 | -117.8% | -1.0% | -5.3% | +5.0% | +38.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +25.8% | -1.3% | +0.0% | +11.9% | +5.0% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.19 | 0.08 | -58.0% | -5.4% | -6.1% | -4.9% | +1.7% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.95 | 1.38 | +45.5% | -2.8% | -0.5% | -5.6% | -55.1% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.17 | 0.37 | +123.0% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +1.9% | +11.8% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 0.14 | 0.27 | +95.1% | +3.9% | +3.9% | -1.9% | -4.8% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.03 | -0.05 | -256.2% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.4% | -5.8% |
| 2019-02-27 beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | +1.7% | -0.9% | +1.4% | +6.8% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +8.2% | +3.7% | +3.1% | -0.9% | -9.1% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.11 | 0.03 | -72.0% | -1.0% | +1.7% | +0.7% | -4.2% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 0.09 | 0.03 | -67.9% | +0.9% | +1.3% | -0.9% | +5.3% |
| 2018-02-28 miss | 0.13 | 0.08 | -37.0% | -5.6% | -4.7% | -0.5% | -2.3% |
| 2017-11-02 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -19.8% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -2.3% | -1.9% |
| 2017-08-03 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -77.0% | -2.9% | +1.7% | -2.4% | -7.7% |
| 2017-05-04 miss | 0.03 | — | -109.6% | -0.2% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +1.9% |
| 2017-02-23 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +210.6% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -4.3% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | -0.03 | — | +107.1% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +3.9% | +6.8% |
| 2016-08-02 miss | -0.03 | -0.07 | -102.4% | -1.1% | -2.4% | +3.1% | +3.1% |
| 2016-05-03 miss | 0.06 | -0.09 | -240.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -2.5% | +5.1% |
| 2016-03-01 miss | 0.01 | -0.03 | -466.3% | -0.3% | +3.4% | +5.3% | +1.8% |
| 2015-11-03 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -58.5% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -10.6% | -18.0% |
| 2015-08-11 miss | 0.10 | 0.02 | -79.5% | -2.7% | -5.5% | -2.8% | -15.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.