FTV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -1.3% | 4.5% | 46% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 1.8% | 59% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 51% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.4% | 5.6% | 56% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.9% | -2.9% | -7.1% | +3.0% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.64 | 0.70 | +8.9% | +0.6% | -3.2% | +1.9% | -1.8% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.4% | +0.3% | +10.6% | -2.4% | -4.6% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.5% | +11.7% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +6.2% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.59 | 0.58 | -2.1% | +3.8% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.85 | 0.85 | -0.2% | -6.3% | -4.2% | +4.6% | +5.2% |
| 2025-02-07 beat | 1.12 | 1.17 | +4.4% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +1.9% | -6.2% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.2% | -1.8% | -3.4% | +3.1% | +10.0% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.92 | 0.93 | +1.0% | -7.4% | -8.2% | +2.1% | +2.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.5% | -7.5% | -5.8% | -0.8% | -0.6% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 0.94 | 0.98 | +4.5% | +6.2% | +4.7% | +5.3% | +9.5% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.85 | 0.85 | +0.1% | -6.8% | -8.0% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.81 | 0.85 | +5.3% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +2.0% | -0.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.6% | -1.1% | -3.5% | +1.5% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +4.5% | +0.0% | -3.2% | +4.9% | +3.5% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.2% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -0.6% | +8.7% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.2% | +1.3% | +5.0% | +5.0% | +3.6% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +3.1% | +0.5% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +5.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.5% | -3.3% | -7.8% | -0.4% | -12.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +1.3% | -3.7% | +1.0% | +4.0% | -2.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.66 | +9.4% | +4.2% | +5.2% | +2.5% | +2.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.4% | -3.2% | -5.4% | +2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +13.1% | +2.5% | +4.3% | +3.8% | +0.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.86 | 0.94 | +9.8% | -1.0% | -2.9% | +4.5% | +15.6% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.58 | 0.68 | +17.1% | +3.3% | +3.6% | -4.9% | -3.8% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.9% | -0.4% | -5.1% | -2.4% | +5.4% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.97 | 1.03 | +6.2% | -0.9% | +1.5% | -1.5% | -21.0% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.87 | +0.0% | -0.2% | -4.4% | +5.0% | +4.6% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.3% | -9.3% | -4.1% | -6.1% | -11.9% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.69 | 0.69 | +0.4% | -7.3% | -2.9% | +1.6% | -9.9% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 0.85 | 0.91 | +6.8% | +1.3% | +3.2% | +6.5% | +6.9% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | 0.86 | 0.86 | -0.5% | -4.1% | -4.3% | +2.5% | +1.0% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.0% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +1.8% | +2.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.2% | -0.9% | -1.3% | +2.8% | +3.8% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +4.6% | +9.6% | +4.8% | +4.4% | +7.6% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.2% | -1.7% | +0.9% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.2% | +1.5% | +3.0% | +4.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.0% | +1.0% | +1.5% | -0.2% | +0.1% |
| 2017-02-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.68 | +1.9% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.1% | +5.8% | +5.7% | +1.8% | +10.1% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.4% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.